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News and Insight for Decision-Makers

Editor's Pick

Predicting the future: The supergroup of AI, humans, hedgehogs and
foxes

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AI can assist human decision-making and democratize super-forecasting
to better predict uncertain futures.
Editor's Note: The hedgehog and fox monikers originally derive from an
essay by the philosopher, Isaiah Berlin, based on an old Greek adage
that "a fox knows many things, but a hedgehog knows one big thing,"
that Berlin used to characterize writers into two schools, one that
views the world through a single lens or "Big Idea," and the other
that draws on a wide variety of experiences that cannot be attributed
to a single school of thought or paradigm.

Continued here

High-signal, zero noise. Expense Premium
[[link removed]}&lead=419599&emailid=236378&nl=daily].

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Great Britains electricity grid fortified against blackouts after
Iberian crash
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He added: "We have a diverse and robust energy system and - alongside
Neso - maintaining and strengthening it is our top priority and it is
right that we have now examined any lessons."

Work

Business Leaders React to Trump's H-1B Visa Fee - Business Insider
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Netflix cofounder and chairman Reed Hastings praised Trump's $100,000
H-1B visa fee, calling it a "great solution" compared to the existing
lottery system.Hastings said in an X post on Sunday that he has
"worked on H-1B politics for 30 years.""It will mean H1-B is used just
for very high-value jobs, which will mean no lottery needed, and more
certainty for those jobs," he wrote.

Work

Flights Are Temporarily Diverted From Copenhagen Airport After Drone
Sightings
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The airport was closed for several hours because or two or three large
drones spotted in the area.

Work

Germicidal ultraviolet could make airborne diseases as rare as those
carried by water
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While typhoid and other waterborne diseases triggered vast engineering
and regulatory responses, the equivalent airborne threats have not.
Tuberculosis alone kills more than a million people every year around
the world, yet the air in schools, clinics, and public buildings
remains largely unfiltered and unmonitored. Covid-19, which killed
over seven million people, demonstrated how rapidly airborne pathogens
can spread in poorly ventilated spaces.Just as filtration and
chlorination made drinking water safe at scale, we now have the tools
to do the same for indoor air: ventilation, high-quality filters, and
germicidal light.







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Control of the Fed Is About More Than Interest Rates - The Atlantic
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President Donald Trump could be close to taking over the Federal
Reserve. On September 9, a federal district judge blocked Trump's
effort to remove Lisa Cook as a Federal Reserve governor; on Thursday,
the administration petitioned the Supreme Court to allow the firing to
go through. If the high court ends up siding with the administration,
then Trump will have a clear path to filling the central bank with
loyalists willing to vote the way he directs them to.So far, most of
the hand-wringing over this possibility has centered on Trump's desire
to dramatically cut interest rates, which could juice the economy and
improve the GOP's political prospects in the short term, but make
inflation worse and destroy the Fed's credibility in the long term.
But the Fed has far more power than just setting rates; in fact,
setting rates is the least of what it can do. The central bank
determines the supply of money flowing through the economy, decides
which institutions can have access to the financial system, and can
print and spend money at will. If Trump takes control of the Fed, he
will have attained extraordinary power to reward his friends and
destroy his enemies.

Work

ChatGPT Is Blowing Up Marriages as Spouses Use AI to Attack Their
Partners [[link removed]}&lead=419599&emailid=236378&nl=daily]
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A husband and wife, together nearly 15 years, had reached a breaking
point. And in the middle of their latest fight, they received a
heartbreaking text."Our son heard us arguing," the husband told
Futurism. "He's 10, and he sent us a message from his phone saying,
'please don't get a divorce.'"What his wife did next, the man told us,
unsettled him."She took his message, and asked ChatGPT to respond," he
recounted. "This was her immediate reaction to our 10-year-old being
concerned about us in that moment."The couple is now divorcing.

Work

Palantir Wants to Be a Lifestyle Brand
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Defense tech giant Palantir is selling T-shirts and tote bags as part
of a bid to encourage fans to publicly endorse it.

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How a Mom & Dad Nuclear Spy Couple Used Sock Codes & Peanut Butter
'Dead Drops'
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Even from her prison cell, Diana Toebbe was relying on spy tradecraft
to secretly correspond with her husband Jonathan, her co-conspirator
in a sensational 2022 espionage trial involving stolen US nuclear
secrets hidden in a peanut butter sandwich and a gum wrapper.















 












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Research reveals how gut-brain interactions shape eating behaviors
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Two new papers from Clinical Gastroenterology and Hepatology and
Gastroenterology shed light on how gut-brain interactions, influenced
by both biology and life circumstances, shape eating behaviors.
Together, they highlight the importance of multidisciplinary,
personalized approaches to digestive health and nutrition.

Work

China Achieves Major Aircraft Carrier Breakthrough
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Chinese military aircraft conducted electromagnetic catapult-assisted
takeoffs and arrested landings aboard the aircraft carrier CNS Fujian.

Work

Private Equity Firms' Fundraising Stumbles After High-Flying Era -
Bloomberg [[link removed]}&lead=419599&emailid=236378&nl=daily]
[[link removed]}&lead=419599&emailid=236378&nl=daily]
When Insight Partners tried to raise another $20 billion flagship
fund, it found itself offering mea culpas.Months into the campaign,
the software-focused private equity firm conceded it had invested too
quickly before interest rates rose, buying assets near a market peak.
Executives vowed to focus on returning capital. But contrition wasn't
enough for some clients. Even after trimming ambitions to $12.5
billion to $15 billion for an era of fewer deals, the firm's 13th fund
closed in January with about $11.5 billion.Such struggles reflect
tough times for private equity.

Work

Man re-arrested by FBI after shots fired at ABC affiliate in
Sacramento
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No one was injured. Sacramento police said investigators don't know if
the gunfire was directed at the station.
























 











Work

British spies turn to dark web to recruit Russian agents, access
secrets
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British spies are to use the digital shadows of the dark web to
recruit informants and allow them to receive secret information from
agents in Russia and worldwide, Britain's foreign ministry said on
Thursday.

Work

How pianists vary the timbre of their performance
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A new study has found expert pianists effect the timbre of their
performance by varying the timing, synchronicity, velocity and
acceleration of their

Work

Judge lifts Trump administration's halt on $5B offshore wind farm
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A federal judge has ruled that a nearly complete offshore wind project
halted by the Trump administration can resume, dealing President
Donald Trump a setback in his ongoing effort to restrict the U.S.
offshore wind industry. Work on the Revolution Wind project off Rhode
Island and Connecticut has been paused since Aug. 22, when the
administration issued a stop-work order for unspecified national
security concerns. Both the developer and the two states sued in
federal courts. Danish energy company Orsted sought a preliminary
injunction that would allow the project to move forward. Judge Royce
Lamberth granted it, citing likely irreparable harm to the plaintiffs.

Work

In Maine, prisoners are thriving in remote jobs and other states are
taking notice
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Forty-five Maine prisoners are currently working remote jobs for
outside companies. A few are working full-time, earning more than
corrections officers. One is making well into the six figures. Here's
why Maine's approach to education and work in prison is making waves
in the world of corrections.
























 











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Public toilets in China are making people watch ads for toilet paper
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China's latest "smart" public toilet upgrade has gone viral and unless
you like ads, it might be the most dystopian one yet.

Work

Building ventilation invented by ancient Persians and Romans is making
a modern comeback
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In this issue of our environmental newsletter, we look at a
sun-powered strategy from ancient civilizations to bring fresh, cool
air into buildings; track individual monarchs on their migration to
Mexico; and check out a new made-in-Canada electric locomotive built
for extreme cold.

Work

What to know about changes to the H-1B visa program - WSJ
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President Trump on Friday announced a major overhaul of the country's
H-1B visa system, including a new $100,000 fee, creating confusion for
companies and workers about who would be affected.The H-1B system is
the primary pathway for foreign professionals to enter the country,
and is also used by international students who hope to remain in the
U.S. after their student visas expire. A favorite of large tech
companies, the visas are also used broadly by foreign doctors and
university researchers.Here's what you need to know about recent
changes to the program.

Work

What to know about taking Tylenol during pregnancy - WSJ
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The Trump administration said on Monday that Tylenol use during
pregnancy is a possible cause of autism and that pregnant women should
stop taking it unless absolutely necessary.Doctors and medical
societies say acetaminophen, the active ingredient in Tylenol, remains
the best option for treating fever and pain during pregnancy.Pregnant
women are caught in the middle.







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How Macron and Saudi Arabia turned the tide on Western support for a
Palestinian state - WSJ [[link removed]}&lead=419599&emailid=236378&nl=daily]
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It was once unthinkable that a wave of some of the U.S.'s closest
Western allies would recognize a Palestinian state. It took less than
a year of closed-door diplomacy by French President Emmanuel Macron
and Saudi officials to upend the decades-old status quo.The push
gathered force as Macron grew frustrated with Israel and watched as
the Middle East's traditional diplomatic power-broker, the U.S., was
stymied in its efforts to end the war in Gaza. Over much of the past
year, the French joined the Saudis in pressing Western countries to
buck their biggest ally in Washington and, in Macron's eyes, save the
Israeli-Palestinian peace process.

Work

Poland to Russia: 'You have been warned' so don't 'whine' if your jets
are shot down in NATO airspace
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Radoslaw Sikorski upbraids Moscow for being "incapable of living in
peace" with its neighbors following a series of incursions into NATO
airspace.

Work

Meta's AI system Llama approved for use by US government agencies
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U.S. government agencies will be able to use Meta Platforms'
artificial intelligence system Llama, a senior administration official
said, as the Trump administration pushes to integrate commercial AI
tools into government operations.

Work

In targeting a common painkiller, Trump oversteps his own advisers'
guidance - WSJ [[link removed]}&lead=419599&emailid=236378&nl=daily]
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WASHINGTON--For a generation, parents have waited for an answer to
what's causing a mysterious increase in autism diagnoses among
children. On Monday, they got a hypothesis on the culprit straight
from President Trump: a common painkiller widely deemed safe.In
labeling Tylenol use in pregnant women as a potential cause of autism,
Trump threw the full weight of his office behind a theory that he
acknowledged has yet to be proven. He defied the careful guidance
offered by some in the row of scientific advisers who stood behind him
during the Roosevelt Room address.

Work

Can the UN save itself from irrelevance? [[link removed]}&lead=419599&emailid=236378&nl=daily]
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Since the UN was founded in October 1945 amid a burst of idealism in
the aftermath of the second world war, its cannier leaders have
understood that their principal power stemmed from the pulpit: they
can publicly shame and scold the member states.Dag Hammarskjold, the
flamboyant second secretary-general, who died in a mysterious plane
crash in 1961 while mediating in the Congo, was the most artful
exponent of this approach. When he spoke, the world listened. It was
he who uttered the words that on the UN's better days still enshrine
its mission. "The UN was created not to lead mankind to heaven," he
said. "But to save humanity from hell."

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Hungary refuses to stop buying Russian oil despite Trumps Nato demand
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"The US is a friend now," he said. "So having the American president
as your friend is totally different compared to when they put pressure
on you, regardless of what is coming from Brussels is very, very
severe."

Work

Trump to address UN general assembly as Israeli attacks on Gaza City
continue Middle East crisis live
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Hundreds of thousands of people have fled southwards after being
ordered by the IDF to do so, but hundreds of thousands, many of whom
are too frail to move, remain despite the risks as there is
effectively nowhere safe to move to in the Strip.

Work

US Startup Wants to Build Giant Cargo Plane That Carries 4 F-35s -
Business Insider [[link removed]}&lead=419599&emailid=236378&nl=daily]
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A late-stage startup building the world's largest plane -- originally
for moving giant wind turbine blades -- now wants its aircraft to
ferry Chinooks and fighter jets for the US military.The Windrunner is
meant to offer 12 times the cargo space of Boeing's C-17 Globemaster
III, the Pentagon's primary heavy-lift carrier, according to Radia,
its maker based in Boulder, Colorado.The company said in a press
release on Friday that it was proposing its product as an "ultra-large
air cargo aircraft" for moving weapons platforms and transports. It
originally built the Windrunner to airlift wind turbine fan blades as
long as 330 feet.

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Reverse brain drain: governments hope to lure talent after US visa
changes [[link removed]}&lead=419599&emailid=236378&nl=daily]
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According to a June report published by the Korea Chamber of Commerce
& Industry, the country, home to technology giants Samsung
(005930.KS), opens new tab and LG Electronics (066570.KS), opens new
tab, has been losing tech talent to countries such as the United
States.In 2024, the nation recorded a net loss of 0.36 AI experts per
10,000 people, ranked 35th, near the bottom of the 38 member countries
in the OECD, according to an index measuring net flows in the
report.That compares with a gain for Luxembourg of 8.92, 1.07 for the
United States and 2.13 for Germany.

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TikTok Deal May Swap China's Surveillance for America's | TIME
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The TikTok deal is being hailed as a win for national security. But
experts fear it could trade one threat of surveillance for another.

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More Americans are living in RVs as housing costs rise
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Moving into an RV may seem like a way to save money, but it can come
with unexpected costs and trap families in a cycle of debt.

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Blue Origin wins NASA deal to ferry VIPER rover to lunar south pole
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NASA's water-ice prospecting mission is getting a second life with
Blue Origin.

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How climate change is fueling your sugar addiction
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Rising temperatures are feeding America's sweet tooth -- and creating
a new public health challenge in the process.

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US intel officials "concerned" China will soon master reusable launch
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"They have to have on-orbit refueling because they don't access space
as frequently as we do."...

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Global growth forecast upgraded by OECD
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"Growth is expected to soften noticeably in the second half of this
year, as front-loading activity unwinds and higher effective tariff
rates on imports to the United States and China dampen investment and
trade growth," it said.

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How Nvidia is backstopping America's AI boom - WSJ
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Nvidia's move to invest $100 billion into OpenAI to help finance a
historic data center build-out has helped reset market expectations
about the startup's shaky finances. It's a familiar play by the chip
giant.Chief Executive Jensen Huang has repeatedly sought to leverage
the enormous confidence investors have in Nvidia's future to help
strengthen the company's supply chain partners. It has used its
balance sheet clout to keep the AI boom humming through deals,
partnerships and investments in companies that are among its top
customers, including cloud-computing provider CoreWeave, rival chip
designer Intel and xAI.The deals highlight an issue that some
investors are calling "circularity" in Nvidia's prospects, whereby the
company takes steps to boost or shore up demand for its AI chips by
supporting startups and other companies. Those companies can then use
those funds or new liquidity to buy Nvidia chips.

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General Catalyst CEO Says Companies Need 4 Things for AI Integration
that avoids hitting a wall - Business Insider
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True AI integration has four non-negotiables, according to General
Catalyst's CEO."When you think about transforming an enterprise with
AI, you actually have to do four things correctly," Hemant Taneja said
on an episode of the 20VC podcast released on Monday.Taneja said that
it is "very, very difficult" to achieve all four things and ensure
that AI adoption goes beyond prototyping an OpenAI or Anthropic
model."That's why these things are hitting a wall," he added.The VC
said that companies need to prepare their data infrastructure for AI
adoption first. Data infrastructure includes components like servers,
databases, cloud platforms, and networking equipment that work
together to make data secure and usable.The second must-have is large
language models that understand your business.

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America's top companies keep talking about AI - but can't explain the
upsides [[link removed]}&lead=419599&emailid=236378&nl=daily]
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The biggest US-listed companies keep talking about artificial
intelligence. But other than the "fear of missing out," few appear to
be able to describe how the technology is changing their businesses
for the better.That is the conclusion of a Financial Times analysis of
hundreds of corporate filings and executive transcripts at S&P 500
companies last year, providing one of the most comprehensive insights
yet into how the AI wave is rippling through American industry.

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Argentina's Javier Milei to meet Donald Trump for talks on US
financial lifeline [[link removed]}&lead=419599&emailid=236378&nl=daily]
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Argentina's President Javier Milei is due for high-stakes talks with
Donald Trump on Tuesday as the US president prepares to offer a
financial lifeline to his ideological ally after days of market
turmoil.US Treasury secretary Scott Bessent said on Monday that "all
options" were on the table to support Milei, a libertarian economist
and close Trump ally, to help arrest a damaging run on Argentina's
currency. Washington would consider an intervention to buy pesos or
Argentina's sovereign debt, Bessent said.

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Queensland coalmines marked for closure uneconomic, analysis shows,
despite sector blaming royalties scheme
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"We're not interested in fair-weather friends who come running for the
dollars when things are good, then abandon Queensland in the name of
shareholder profits when the going gets tough," Crisafulli said.

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Trump is waging culture war on Europe by promoting rightwing allies,
report finds
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“‘It’s culture, stupid!’ urgently needs to enter the mindset
of European leaders,” said André Wilkens of the European Cultural
Foundation. “European sentiment is not abstract utopianism. It’s
about real feelings for Europe and Europeans’ readiness to fight for
them.”

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British-Egyptian activist Alaa Abd el-Fattah freed from prison
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A writer and supporter of the Arab spring, Abd el-Fattah has been in
jail since 2019. In 2021, he was sentenced to five years but the
authorities claimed the two years he spent in pre-trial detention did
not count toward his sentence. He was convicted of spreading false
news and harming Egypt’s national interest. A UN panel found the
allegation stemmed from Abd el-Fattah sharing a Facebook post about
the death of a prison inmate.

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Albanese warns Netanyahu expansion of settlements in West Bank risks
putting two-state solution out of reach
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Separately Albanese could meet the Turkish president, Recep Tayyip
ErdoÄan, in New York to discuss Australia's bid to host the Cop31
climate summit. Turkey is bidding for hosting rights, and if neither
country withdraws, the event will default to Bonn, Germany, despite
strong support for Australia.

Work

B&Q owner lifts profit forecast amid strong demand for kitchens
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Kingfisher says garden accessories, outdoor paint and plants sold well
because of good weather in the UK

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Dont pay any attention to what Trump says about medicine, Wes
Streeting tells Britons UK politics live
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[[link removed]}&lead=419599&emailid=236378&nl=daily]
I find it very helpful when readers point out mistakes, even minor
typos. No error is too small to correct. And I find your questions
very interesting too. I can't promise to reply to them all, but I will
try to reply to as many as I can, either BTL or sometimes in the blog.

Work

Pennsylvania official faces threats over post misconstrued as Charlie
Kirk killing celebration
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Hunt abstained from voting at the 18 September meeting, was removed
from the school board’s negotiations committee and would step back
from her role on the seven-member panel for the time being. The
Gazette reported that she is running for re-election in November and
would wait to see the outcome of the race before plotting her
political future.

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Business secretary to visit Jaguar Land Rover as shutdown extended by
a week
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“Our focus remains on supporting our customers, suppliers,
colleagues, and our retailers who remain open. We fully recognise this
is a difficult time for all connected with JLR and we thank everyone
for their continued support and patience.”

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Experts alarmed as Trump pushes unproven link between Tylenol and
autism
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The Guardian app has a tool to send tips about stories. Messages are
end to end encrypted and concealed within the routine activity that
every Guardian mobile app performs. This prevents an observer from
knowing that you are communicating with us at all, let alone what is
being said.

Work

Zohran Mamdani agrees to ABC town hall after Kimmel reinstated
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Mamdani, a state assembly member from Queens, won the Democratic
nomination in June, defeating Cuomo. With less than two months until
the 4 November general election, Mamdani has continued to hold a
commanding lead in the polls.

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Eat salmon, win prizes: Fat Bear Week begins in Alaskas Katmai
national park
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[[link removed]}&lead=419599&emailid=236378&nl=daily]
The competition dates back to 2014, with over a million votes cast for
the bears in 2024 from one hundred countries. Last year's champion was
a brown bear named 128 Grazer, who took home the crown for the second
year in a row, beating a behemoth male that killed her cub.

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