Explore new working papers published by the Center for Economic Studies in the second quarter of 2025.





United States Census Bureau [ [link removed] ]





New Economic and Social Science Research Published in the CES Working Paper Series

Magnifying Glass - Research [ [link removed] ]

Twenty-five working papers were published by the Center for Economic Studies (CES) [ [link removed] ] in the second quarter of 2025. The CES Working Paper Series features research in economics and other social sciences by U.S. Census Bureau and Federal Statistical Research Data Centers [ [link removed] ]researchers using restricted-use Census Bureau microdata.


* _The Composition of Firm Workforces from 2006-2022: Findings from the Business Dynamics Statistics of Human Capital Experimental Product [ [link removed] ]_
Martha Stinson and Sean Wang
* _Growth is Getting Harder to Find, Not Ideas [ [link removed] ]_
Teresa C. Fort, Nathan Goldschlag, Jack Liang, Peter K. Schott, and Nikolas Zolas 
* _Size Matters: Matching Externalities and the Advantages of Large Labor Markets [ [link removed] ]_
Enrico Moretti and Moises Yi
* _Re-assessing the Spatial Mismatch Hypothesis [ [link removed] ]_
David Card, Jesse Rothstein, and Moises Yi

* _Place Based Economic Development and Tribal Casinos [ [link removed] ]_
Randall Akee, Maggie R. Jones, and Emilia Simeonova__
* _The Impact of Childcare Costs on Mothers’ Labor Force Participation [ [link removed] ]_
Valeska Araujo, Linden McBride, and Danielle H. Sandler
* _Startup Dynamics: Transitioning from Nonemployer Firms to Employer Firms, Survival, and Job Creation [ [link removed] ]_
Alicia Robb and Adji Fatou Diagne
* _The Rise of Industrial AI in America: Microfoundations of the Productivity J-curve(s) [ [link removed] ]_
Kristina McElheran, Mu-Jeung Yang, Zachary Kroff, and Erik Brynjolfsson
* _Divorce, Family Arrangements, and Children’s Adult Outcomes [ [link removed] ]_
Andrew C. Johnston, Maggie R. Jones, and Nolan G. Pope

* _The Rising Returns to R&D: Ideas Are Not Getting Harder to Find [ [link removed] ]_
Yoshiki Ando, James Bessen, and Xiupeng Wang
* _Impact Investing and Worker Outcomes [ [link removed] ]_
Josh Lerner, Markus Lithell, and Gordon M. Phillips
* _Property Rights, Firm Size and Investments in Innovation: Evidence from the America Invents Act [ [link removed] ]_
James Driver
* _Multi-Market Contact in International Trade; Evidence from U.S. Battery Exporters [ [link removed] ]_
James R. Boohaker

* _Firm Heterogeneity, Misallocation, and Trade [ [link removed] ]_
John Chung
* _The Effects of Eviction on Children [ [link removed] ]_
Robert Collinson, Deniz Dutz, John Eric Humphries, Nicholas Mader, Daniel Tannenbaum, and Winnie van Dijk
* _Consequences of Eviction for Parenting and Non-parenting College Students [ [link removed] ]_
Nick Graetz, Adam Chapnik, Danielle H. Sandler, and Sonya R. Porter 
* _Tapping Business and Household Surveys to Sharpen Our View of Work from Home_ [ [link removed] ]
José María Barrero, Nicholas Bloom, Kathryn Bonney, Cory Breaux, Catherine Buffington, Steven J. Davis, Lucia Foster, Brian McKenzie, Keith Savage, and Cristina Tello-Trillo

* _Private Equity and Workers: Modeling and Measuring Monopsony, Implicit Contracts, and Efficient Reallocation [ [link removed] ]_
Kyle Herkenhoff, Josh Lerner, Gordon M. Phillips, Francisca Rebelo, and Benjamin Sampson
* _Dynamics of High-Growth Young Firms and the Role of Venture Capitalists [ [link removed] ]_
Yoshiki Ando
* _Understanding Criminal Record Penalties in the Labor Market [ [link removed] ]_
Evan K. Rose and Yotam Shem-Tov
* _Finding Suburbia in the Census [ [link removed] ]_
Todd Gardner

* _The Decline of Volunteering in the United States: Is it the Economy? [ [link removed] ]_
Rebecca Nesbit, Laurie E. Paarlberg, and Suyeon Jo
* _The Rural/Urban Volunteering Divide [ [link removed] ]_
Laurie E. Paarlberg, Rebecca Nesbit, Su Young Choi, and Ryan Moss 
* _Investments under Risk: Evidence from Hurricane Strikes [ [link removed] ]_
Rajesh Aggarwal and Mufaddal Baxamusa
* _An Anatomy of U.S. Establishments’ Trade Linkages in Global Value Chains [ [link removed] ]_
Aaron Flaaen, Fariha Kamal, Eunhee Lee, and Kei-Mu Yi

Opinions and conclusions within these working papers are those of the authors and do not represent the views of the Census Bureau.

Explore the complete CES working paper series at the link below.

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