New Economic and Social Science Research Published in the CES Working Paper Series

Twenty-five working papers were published by the Center for Economic Studies (CES) in the second quarter of 2025. The CES Working Paper Series features research in economics and other social sciences by U.S. Census Bureau and Federal Statistical Research Data Centers researchers using restricted-use Census Bureau microdata.

• The Composition of Firm Workforces from 2006-2022: Findings from the Business Dynamics Statistics of Human Capital Experimental Product
  Martha Stinson and Sean Wang
• Growth is Getting Harder to Find, Not Ideas
  Teresa C. Fort, Nathan Goldschlag, Jack Liang, Peter K. Schott, and Nikolas Zolas 
• Size Matters: Matching Externalities and the Advantages of Large Labor Markets
  Enrico Moretti and Moises Yi
• Re-assessing the Spatial Mismatch Hypothesis
  David Card, Jesse Rothstein, and Moises Yi

• Place Based Economic Development and Tribal Casinos
  Randall Akee, Maggie R. Jones, and Emilia Simeonova
• The Impact of Childcare Costs on Mothers’ Labor Force Participation
  Valeska Araujo, Linden McBride, and Danielle H. Sandler
• Startup Dynamics: Transitioning from Nonemployer Firms to Employer Firms, Survival, and Job Creation
  Alicia Robb and Adji Fatou Diagne
• The Rise of Industrial AI in America: Microfoundations of the Productivity J-curve(s)
  Kristina McElheran, Mu-Jeung Yang, Zachary Kroff, and Erik Brynjolfsson
• Divorce, Family Arrangements, and Children’s Adult Outcomes
  Andrew C. Johnston, Maggie R. Jones, and Nolan G. Pope

• The Rising Returns to R&D: Ideas Are Not Getting Harder to Find
  Yoshiki Ando, James Bessen, and Xiupeng Wang
• Impact Investing and Worker Outcomes
  Josh Lerner, Markus Lithell, and Gordon M. Phillips
• Property Rights, Firm Size and Investments in Innovation: Evidence from the America Invents Act
  James Driver
• Multi-Market Contact in International Trade; Evidence from U.S. Battery Exporters
  James R. Boohaker

• Firm Heterogeneity, Misallocation, and Trade
  John Chung
• The Effects of Eviction on Children
  Robert Collinson, Deniz Dutz, John Eric Humphries, Nicholas Mader, Daniel Tannenbaum, and Winnie van Dijk
• Consequences of Eviction for Parenting and Non-parenting College Students
  Nick Graetz, Adam Chapnik, Danielle H. Sandler, and Sonya R. Porter 
• Tapping Business and Household Surveys to Sharpen Our View of Work from Home
  José María Barrero, Nicholas Bloom, Kathryn Bonney, Cory Breaux, Catherine Buffington, Steven J. Davis, Lucia Foster, Brian McKenzie, Keith Savage, and Cristina Tello-Trillo

• Private Equity and Workers: Modeling and Measuring Monopsony, Implicit Contracts, and Efficient Reallocation
  Kyle Herkenhoff, Josh Lerner, Gordon M. Phillips, Francisca Rebelo, and Benjamin Sampson
• Dynamics of High-Growth Young Firms and the Role of Venture Capitalists
  Yoshiki Ando
• Understanding Criminal Record Penalties in the Labor Market
  Evan K. Rose and Yotam Shem-Tov
• Finding Suburbia in the Census
  Todd Gardner

• The Decline of Volunteering in the United States: Is it the Economy?
  Rebecca Nesbit, Laurie E. Paarlberg, and Suyeon Jo
• The Rural/Urban Volunteering Divide
  Laurie E. Paarlberg, Rebecca Nesbit, Su Young Choi, and Ryan Moss 
• Investments under Risk: Evidence from Hurricane Strikes
  Rajesh Aggarwal and Mufaddal Baxamusa
• An Anatomy of U.S. Establishments’ Trade Linkages in Global Value Chains
  Aaron Flaaen, Fariha Kamal, Eunhee Lee, and Kei-Mu Yi

Opinions and conclusions within these working papers are those of the authors and do not represent the views of the Census Bureau.

Explore the complete CES working paper series at the link below.

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