From PoliticsPA <[email protected]>
Subject How accurate were the 2024 polls?
Date February 14, 2025 3:01 PM
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Welcome to the latest edition of Voices of Reason where we’ll recap exclusive news and data featured in our most recent podcast.

Did the experts get it right? We're looking back at the bold predictions made ahead of the 2024 election to see how they stacked up with the surprising outcomes.

Eagle Consulting Group's Chris Nicholas and Real Clear PA's Charles McElwee share insights you don’t want to miss.
Big Names Make News
Principal of Eagle Consulting Group Chris Nicholas examined how the GOP coalition is “reorganizing along socioeconomic levels ” while Democrats are “struggling with an age shift as younger, progressive members” join their ranks. [Watch ([link removed]) ]

Founding Editor of Real Clear PA Charles McElwee explained that doctors, once reliably Republican, now lean Left as "younger, transient" professionals favor higher-paying employee roles over owning risky small practices. [Watch ([link removed]) ]
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Numbers You Need to Know
Election Polling
* 6 in 10 polling sites predicted a Harris win, 3 in 10 predicted a Trump win, and 1 called a tie. [FiveThirtyEight ([link removed]) ]
* Predictive polls showed Harris leading 79% to 17% among PA Black voters, down from Biden's 92% to 7% advantage in 2020. [ABC ([link removed]) ]

Gender Breakdown
* A large gender gap was predicted, with young women favoring Harris by 17 points and young men preferring Trump by 14 points. [TuffsCircle ([link removed]) ]
* Democrats were anticipating to lose support among voters, especially men under 30, particularly in Midwest states. [NPR ([link removed]) ]

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PA's pre-election polling showed major
realignment before it happened

[link removed]

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In Case You Missed It...

The Voices of Reason podcast has covered the most important issues in Pennsylvania politics – from education funding ([link removed]) to trust in elections ([link removed]) . Secretary of the Commonwealth Al Schmidt ([link removed]) , PA Treasurer Stacy Garrity ([link removed]) , and House Appropriations Chairman Jordan Harris ([link removed]) are just a few of many influential guests who have joined us for exclusive interviews and roundtable discussions.
Visit the Voice of Reason YouTube page ([link removed]) to experience all the great moments you missed.
In Case You Missed It...

A new episode of Voices of Reason drops next week, focusing on the nationwide shifts favoring the GOP, and the influence of local investigative journalism featuring the staff of Broad + Liberty.
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Send feedback and inquire about appearing on Voices of Reason, at [email protected] (mailto:[email protected]?subject=Voices%20of%20Reason%20Podcast%20Inquiry) .

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