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Welcome to the latest edition of Voices of Reason where we’ll recap exclusive news and data featured in our most recent podcast.
Did the experts get it right? We're looking back at the bold predictions made ahead of the 2024 election to see how they stacked up with the surprising outcomes.
Eagle Consulting Group's Chris Nicholas andReal Clear PA's Charles McElwee share insights you don’t want to miss.
Big Names Make News
Principal of Eagle Consulting Group Chris Nicholas examined how the GOP coalition is “reorganizing along socioeconomic levels ” while Democrats are “struggling with an age shift as younger, progressive members” join their ranks. [Watch]
Founding Editor of Real Clear PA Charles McElwee explained that doctors, once reliably Republican, now lean Left as "younger, transient" professionals favor higher-paying employee roles over owning risky small practices. [Watch]
Numbers You Need to Know
Election Polling
6 in 10 polling sites predicted a Harris win, 3 in 10 predicted a Trump win, and 1 called a tie. [FiveThirtyEight]
Predictive polls showed Harris leading 79% to 17% among PA Black voters, down from Biden's 92% to 7% advantage in 2020. [ABC]
Gender Breakdown
A large gender gap was predicted, with young women favoring Harris by 17 points and young men preferring Trump by 14 points. [TuffsCircle]
Democrats were anticipating to lose support among voters, especially men under 30, particularly in Midwest states. [NPR]
PA's pre-election polling showed major
realignment before it happened
In Case You Missed It...
The Voices of Reason podcast has covered the most important issues in Pennsylvania politics – from education funding to trust in elections. Secretary of the Commonwealth Al Schmidt, PA Treasurer Stacy Garrity, and House Appropriations Chairman Jordan Harris are just a few of many influential guests who have joined us for exclusive interviews and roundtable discussions.
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In Case You Missed It...
A new episode of Voices of Reason drops next week, focusing on the nationwide shifts favoring the GOP, and the influence of local investigative journalism featuring the staff of Broad + Liberty.
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