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AEI's weekly digest of top commentary and scholarship on the issues that matter most

A Demographic and Human Resource Perspective

Russian Power in Decline

August 27, 2022

In a new working paper, Nicholas Eberstadt finds that Russia's demographic data reveal a country without the human capital or population growth to sustain its grand ambitions. "Demographic constraints," Eberstadt argues, "are gradually but unforgivingly restricting the realm of the possible for the Russian state on the international stage."

 

 

On Wednesday, August 24, President Joe Biden announced his plan to cancel hundreds of billions of dollars in outstanding student loan debt. Beth Akers argues that the plan, which she calls "costly and regressive," may drive "students to borrow more and institutions to raise prices even faster than before." In a brief for AEI's Conservative Education Reform Network, Akers and Michael Brickman explain the plan's details and forecast its consequences.

 

Writing in Foreign Affairs, Oriana Skylar Mastro and Derek Scissors warn that Communist China's geopolitical power has not yet peaked. Although Communist China's economic and demographic growth may be slowing and soon peak, Mastro and Scissors maintain that its military strength and ability to project power in Asia will grow over the coming decades.

 

Shane Tews advocates refocusing federal broadband policy on strengthening local cybersecurity. According to Tews, decades of federal effort to build municipal broadband networks have failed to expand access while leaving cities vulnerable to damaging cyberattacks, such as the SolarWinds hack in 2020.

 

As American labor force participation rates continue to stagnate below their 2020 levels, Michael R. Strain asks, "What's hollowing out the US workforce?" Finding no simple explanation for why participation remains low even as wages rise quickly, Strain says that "the post-pandemic decline in workforce participation is starting to look more like part of a longer-term trend toward joblessness," which began decades ago.

Customized Care for Complex Conditions in Medicare Advantage Credit

In the latest AEI Economic Perspectives report, AEI's Brian J. Miller and his coauthors, Steven C. Zima and Gail R. Wilensky, identify an area where Medicare reform can improve consumer choice and the quality of care for beneficiaries with chronic diseases. Miller, Zima, and Wilensky propose that Medicare Advantage Chronic Condition Special Needs Plans (C-SNPs), which exist as a managed-care alternative to traditional Medicare fee-for-service care, can be customized around specific chronic conditions, such as diabetes and congestive heart failure, which evidence shows to be well treated in managed care settings. By marketing these plans around their specific conditions, the coauthors say that choices for care will improve enrollment among consumers who often struggle with choice paralysis or cognitive impairments. Miller, Zima, and Wilensky conclude that to achieve this purpose, Medicare Advantage C-SNPs will require greater regulatory and marketing flexibility.

 

 

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QUOTE OF THE WEEK

Our decline, in other words, is a choice. If it does occur, it is bound to make the world a worse place. For all the shortcomings and hypocrisies of the U.S.-led order, the United States is the first and only superpower in history to take national self-determination and rules constraining the use of power seriously.

Dalibor Rohac