Friend, there are a few stories going around after
Georgia and Pennsylvania I think are important to discuss. Spoiler
alert: Yes I am still optimistic about Democrats’ chances this year if
the pro-democracy coalition can get its act together. But there are a
few myths I’ve heard too many times this past week. Let’s talk about
them.
Myth 1: The Georgia primary demonstrates that the GOP
electorate has moved on from Trump.
How many times over the past six
years have people claimed that Trump lost his hold on the GOP? I have
stopped counting. You should too. In every primary, you can assume
Trump controls at least 30% of the electorate. That’s enough to win in
a lot of races. It won Trump the Republican nomination in
2016.
In Georgia, he endorsed terrible
candidates who ran weak campaigns. David Perdue stopped running TV ads
a month before the election. Jody Hice had zero name recognition
outside of his Congressional district. So you might think, sure,
Trump’s candidates lost. He’s weak! But that 30%+ ain’t going
anywhere. So guess who you’re going to see going to kneel before the
altar of Trump? Brian Kemp. The same rule applies in every other GOP
race around the country. Either Trump gets his endorsed candidate or
he controls enough of our electorate to hold the GOP candidate
hostage. If you’re in the GOP, you’re one of two kinds of person: the
hostages or the hostage takers.
That’s a win for Trump and a loss
for our democracy. That’s the fight we’re in.
Myth 2: Some GOP candidates are simply too extreme to
win.
Remember how I keep saying the GOP
are going to nominate a crop of loons? They are. And it will hurt them
this fall. But don’t think for a second that just because they’re
crazy that they can’t win.
Look at Pennsylvania, it’s likely
going to be ultra-MAGA Doug Mastriano and Mehmet Oz running statewide.
Both of them won their primaries by going as MAGA as they could. Some
people now assume this will make them completely unelectable in the
general election. But ask Glenn Youngkin how easy it is to camouflage
extremism. They are going to do the same thing. Oz already is. It’s
how MAGA candidates win: Prove your loyalty to Trump in the primary,
and then soften your image for the general election. It worked in
Virginia, and if we are caught sleeping, it can work in
Pennsylvania.
These are hard fights. But it’s
even more important now to stand up for the democracy we believe in –
especially when things look tough.
Myth 3: Democrats should wait to go after MAGA
candidates.
This last myth is the reason
America has let the Trump movement get as far as it has. Too many
strategists in Washington always think it's best to play it nice until
the last month of campaign season, and then panic spend a bunch of
money after they see bad polls. Here’s a piece of
advice for everyone who cares about our democracy: Go after Mastriano,
Oz, and Herschel Walker now. Do not wait. Define them early and define
them now. Don’t let them hide behind their sweatervests.
Yes, the Trumpist candidates can
win if we are not careful. And Democrats have a lot of work to do. But
the GOP nominations have the potential to make this like 2010 all over
again. And here is a statistic we should never forget: Trump
Republican candidates run 9 points stronger than the MAGA Republican
candidates do. If we continue to make it clear that MAGA extremists
have taken over the GOP – and even Trump has lost control of them – we
have a path to victory in November and beyond.
Remember when the Republicans
nominated a witch and blew a Senate seat? That kind of year. These
ultra-MAGA candidates are vulnerable.
But
they’re only vulnerable if we define their extremism to voters sooner
rather than later. The Lincoln Project is the only group that is
consistently doing the hard and focused work of going after these MAGA
candidates. Make a donation today to help us continue it, Friend.
-Joe Trippi
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