The Vote
 

  

With 7 days to Election Day 2020, here's the news that you'll want to know:

(1) will it all come down to Pennsylvania and Florida?

 

(2) Supreme Court rules Wisconsin won't count mail-in ballots received after Election Day -- one estimate says it could affect more than 150,000 votes

 

(3) Biden defensive about his lack of campaign travel

The 2020 presidential election could come down to Pennsylvania and Florida -- and it's a close race.

"The importance of Pennsylvania was seen plainly on Monday. Trump held three rallies in the state, where he bashed Biden, especially on the economy.  The Trump campaign has sought to reap political dividends from confusion about Biden’s position on fracking, an industry which is particularly important in southwestern Pennsylvania." (The Hill)

Read the full story on The Hill

• What's happening: As political analysts look ahead to next week's election, it seems like the presidential race may come down to Pennsylvania and Florida.

 

Right now, as The Hill reports, Joe Biden holds a narrow 2-point lead in Pennsylvania, and one Democratic consultant said Florida's results will be a "nail-biter."

 

• What's at stake: The 2020 election, of course. Here are the factors that help show how the campaigns are prioritizing the states -- and what it means for the election next Tuesday:

 

-- Yesterday, President Trump held three rallies in Pennsylvania while Joe Biden made a small visit. President Trump has emphasized Biden's comments on energy in Pennsylvania, home to the Marcellus Shale -- which has boomed in natural gas production since the advent of hydraulic fracturing (fracking).

 

-- Biden's polling lead in Florida and Pennsylvania was "effectively halved" in mid-October.

 

-- All fall, Biden has faced news stories about how he's "struggling" in Florida. Erstwhile Democratic presidential candidate Michael Bloomberg is now reportedly $100 million in the state in support of Biden.

Supreme Court rules that Wisconsin won't count mail-in ballots that came in after Election Day -- could affect more than 150,000 ballots.

"In a victory for Republicans Monday, the Supreme Court rejected a Democratic request to count mail-in ballots received after Election Day in Wisconsin. The Court rejected the request, from a group of Democratic voters in Wisconsin, five to three, with Justice Elena Kagan leading the liberal trio in dissent. [...] Democrats believe as many as 160,000 ballots will be received after the election even though they were sent on time." (Washington Free Beacon)

Read the full story on the Washington Free Beacon

• What's happening: The Supreme Court found that Wisconsin will not accept mail-in ballots after Election Day. A previous ruling would allow them to be counted if they were received up to six days after November 3.

 

The Washington Free Beacon has a good overview of the court case at the center of many COVID-related election rule changes -- and subsequent legal challenges -- this year. Check it out here.

 

• What's at stake: First, one estimate suggests this rule change could affect up to 160,000 ballots. That's likely bad news for Joe Biden, as Biden voters are "twice as likely than Trump supporters" to vote by mail.

 

Second, precedent in one state's case may affect decision-making in others. We also speculate that there will be a lot of legal wrangling after Election Day, so we wouldn't rule out any issue resurfacing.

Biden defensive about his lack of campaign travel.

"'The reason it looks like we’re not traveling — we’re not putting on superspreaders,' Biden said when asked about his 'light' campaign schedule. 'We are doing what we’re doing here. Everyone is wearing a mask and trying the best they can to be socially distanced. It’s important to be responsible.'" (Fox News)

Read the full story on Fox News

• What's happening: As we've shared with you, Joe Biden has been missing from the campaign trail for much of the fall -- taking a much more low-key approach to the presidential race than recent nominees have. As National Review noted, at this time in 2016, Hillary Clinton held 17 events in four states.

 

Biden (finally) addressed the issue yesterday, saying the lack of travel was due to COVID.

 

• What's at stake: There's no rule about how many campaign events a candidate must hold. But Biden, largely absent from the campaign trail this summer and early fall, just seems to be less visible as Election Day draws closer.

 

It's also worth noting that although Biden himself is not traveling, Kamala Harris as well as both Biden's and Harris' spouses have been busy. So it seems like it may be unique to Biden that he has mostly remained in Delaware in the final lead-up to Election Day.

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