The Vote
 

  

With 15 days to Election Day 2020, here's the news that you'll want to know:

(1) the 3 Election Day (and week) scenarios -- and what the Constitution says about them

 

(2) Biden out of the public eye until Thursday night

 

(3) White House Chief of Staff suggests "additional lawsuits will be filed perhaps as early as today" against social media companies

 

On the campaign trail today

 

President Trump will hold a campaign rally in Arizona today, while Joe Biden is off the campaign trail until the next presidential debate on Thursday night.

The 3 Election Day / week scenarios -- and what the Constitution says about them.

"The Claremont-TPPF effort produced a detailed roadmap of the likely challenges at the state level, how those might be adjudicated in state and federal courts, how domestic unrest and foreign adventurism might intensify, and, in the unlikely event that the Electoral College cannot determine a winner, how a president and vice president could be constitutionally determined." (The Federalist)

Read the full story on The Federalist
Read the 79 Days Report (PDF) for yourself

• What's happening: Given the uncertainty -- and unusual circumstances! -- for this year's election, the Texas Public Policy Foundation (TPPF) and the Claremont Institute released a joint report on the three scenarios they find most likely ... and what it means for America.

 

The scenarios:

1) clear victory for President Trump with 322 Electoral College votes

2) clear victory for Joe Biden with 342 Electoral College votes

3) no clear winner and the results dragged out in courts all the way up to January 6, 2021, when a joint session of Congress meets to accept the Electoral College ballots (and they lay out the constitutional mechanisms for how this works in their report)

 

• What's at stake: First, this presidential election is like none other in recent history. It's highly likely we will not know the winner on Election Day -- and that ballot-counting, especially for absentee and mail-in votes, could continue for days and weeks.

 

And it seems equally likely, in our opinion, that we'll see:

 

-- lawsuits after Election Day, especially since there have been so many rule changes and legal fights up to this point

 

-- heightened intensity from the left, the mainstream media, and on social media, as prominent Democrats have been making increasingly inflammatory statements throughout the year, up to Speaker Nancy Pelosi calling President Trump and congressional Republicans "domestic enemies"

 

But second, and more reassuringly, the bottom line of the Claremont Institute and TPPF report: "We hope that our work will reassure the American people that our system of government is resilient. It was crafted by the Founders to withstand crises and to emerge through the turmoil with a government of the people, by the people, for the people, that shall not perish from the earth, but endure to secure the Blessings of Liberty to ourselves and our children."

Joe Biden out of the public eye until the final presidential debate on Thursday night.

"Joe Biden will not be making public campaign appearances until Thursday night when he will have his final debate against President Donald Trump. '[Joe Biden] is mostly about debate prep," CBS correspondent Ed O'Keefe said on Face the Nation. 'He will not be seen again after today until Thursday night in Nashville at that next debate.'" (Washington Free Beacon)

Read the full story on the Washington Free Beacon

• What's happening: Joe Biden called a "lid" on public events until the final presidential debate on Thursday night. This may be unprecedented in modern American politics for a candidate to remain off the trail entirely just two weeks ahead of Election Day.

 

• What's at stake: Biden continues to run an out-of-the-spotlight campaign -- and he can likely count on the mainstream media to pick up the slack for him.

 

According to The Federalist:

 

-- Biden has answered less than half as many questions as President Trump.

 

-- Biden spent "almost three months" without taking questions from reporters.

 

-- And, of course, Biden still won't tell the American people whether he'll pack the Supreme Court, i.e. expand it past nine justices, if he wins.

 

As Axios termed it: "Joe Biden is the luckiest, least scrutinized frontrunner." That's likely because the mainstream media won't do its job but will continue to give cover to Biden.

 

Consider this: when Biden was in North Carolina this week, the hard-hitting question he faced was what milkshake flavor he ordered. Seriously.

White House Chief of Staff suggests additional lawsuits will be filed against social media companies -- perhaps today.

"'They have two standards: one for one campaign, one for the other. But I do believe that additional lawsuits will be filed perhaps as early as today to go after that,' Meadows said during an interview on Fox News. 'Listen, it’s not just the campaigns,' Meadows continued. 'They’re now starting to censor, actually, reporters. That’s a dangerous place for them to go when they’re the arbiter of what they deem to be the truth.'" (National Review)

Read the full story on National Review

• What's happening: In a TV interview this morning, White House Chief of Staff Mark Meadows suggested there could be lawsuits filed as soon as today against social media companies. This is in response to the restrictions on the New York Post report on Hunter Biden's alleged laptop hard drive review last week.

 

After the Post reported on emails it alleged were from Hunter Biden's laptop, Facebook restricted distribution of the story on its platform. Twitter went further and prevented users from sharing the URL, even blocking Twitter accounts that tweeted it. (It later back-tracked.)

 

• What's at stake: Lawsuits against social media companies likely won't have a major effect on the 2020 presidential election. Election Day is in just over two weeks, and we wouldn't imagine there would be any legal decisions handed down before then.

 

But this sets the scene for the upcoming battle over increased regulation and oversight of social media companies -- which could substantially shape the 2022 election and beyond.

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