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Welcome to Wednesday. The Latino vote is hard to pin down in pivotal Florida. Recent
polls show Joe Biden building a steady lead over President Donald Trump. Listen
to the latest episode of "The Francis Effect" podcast.
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Latino vote in pivotal Florida may hinge on faith issues [[link removed]]
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A Miami Herald poll released in early September sent shudders through Democratic
circles. It showed that, as usual, Florida was tightly contested, and that Joe
Biden has made inroads among older, white voters.
But Democrats were shocked to discover that Biden was trailing Hillary Clinton's
2016 performance among Latinos, when Clinton lost Florida and the national election.
While Florida was rated a toss-up, President Donald Trump was said to be surpassing
previous Republican presidential contenders among Latinos.
Frank Orlando, director of polling at St. Leo University near Tampa, told NCR that
it may well be religiosity and church moral teachings, not national identity, that
will play the largest part in garnering the pivotal Latino vote in the pivotal state
this year.
In Florida, the Hispanic mix includes Cuban Americans; Venezuelans hit with scarcity
and chaos at home; Puerto Ricans who left their island after a string of natural
disasters; and newcomers such as Central Americans fleeing poverty and violence.
But those national identities often obscure other factors that influence voting.
"It's a tired idea that national identification plays a huge role in Latino voting
patterns," said Orlando.
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More background:
* The influx of Puerto Ricans, largely Catholics and Democrats, to Central Florida,
is part of a state with complicated politics [[link removed]].
* Pundits often dismiss "the Latino vote," saying Latinos don't vote uniformly [[link removed]]
and have members with a wide range of views.
* Catch up on all of our Election 2020 coverage here [[link removed]].
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Pro-life? Why the Trump campaign is collapsing [[link removed]]
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The NBC News/Wall Street Journal national poll is just one poll of many that caught
everyone's attention recently as it registered a 14-point lead for former Vice President
Joe Biden. The New York Times/Siena College poll in Arizona showed Biden with a
steady lead of 49% to 41%.
The Washington Post profiled older voters this past weekend, building on a Post/ABC
News poll that showed Biden leading among voters over 65 years old by a margin of
52% to 47%. According to a Pew Research study, Trump won this demographic four years
ago by a margin of 53% to Hillary Clinton's 44%.
What is going on?
As NCR political columnist Michael Sean Winters says he has been arguing for quite
some time, "the only lies the president tells that really matter are the lies that
affect people's lives."
"Now, we need to amend that to include lies that affect people's deaths," he writes.
"Lying about how much money he made is one thing. Lying about COVID-19 is another."
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More headlines
* In the latest episode of "The Francis Effect" podcast [[link removed]],
NCR executive editor Heidi Schlumpf joins Franciscan Fr. Daniel Horan and David
Dault as they look at the role of anti-Catholicism in the confirmation battle over
Amy Coney Barrett.
*
ICYMI: Pope Francis' new encyclical, Fratelli Tutti, is earning praise from the
leadership of the International Union of Superiors General [[link removed]],
who say the letter is a confirmation of the types of bridge-build ministries that
sisters engage in throughout the world.
* Jesuit Fr. Thomas Reese lines out five things to look for in the new encyclical
[[link removed]],
Fratelli Tutti.
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Final thoughts
Did you miss NCR Vatican correspondent Joshua McElwee, NCR opinion editor Olga Segura
and Franciscan Fr. Daniel Horan on Facebook Live yesterday? Don't worry, you can
still watch their conversation [[link removed]]
on Fratelli Tutti, Pope Francis' recently released encyclical on human fraternity
and social friendship. Don't forget to follow us on Facebook [[link removed]].
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Until Thursday,
Stephanie Yeagle
NCR Production/Online Editor
[email protected] [mailto:
[email protected]]
Twitter: @ncrSLY [[link removed]]
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