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Democrats have 44 GOP-held seats on their midterms chopping block



Growing more bullish on their chances in November’s midterm elections,
Democrats on Tuesday added five more GOP-held seats to the list of districts
the party is targeting—expanding the number of races Democrats say they are
competing in to 44.

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee said it will now spend money
to unseat GOP Reps. Jeff Crank in Colorado's 5th District, Brad Finstad in
Minnesota's 1st District, Ryan Zinke in Montana's 1st District, John McGuire in
Virginia's 5th District, and South Carolina's 1st District, which is being
vacated by Rep. Nancy Mace, who is running for governor.

President Donald Trump carried those five new seats in 2024, some by as many
as 13 percentage points. However, given their overperformance in special
elections since Trump reentered the White House, Democrats now say these seats
are competitive and that the party will make a run for them in the fall.

"The new offensive targets are all in districts that Trump won by 13% or less,
and reflect a sustained, dramatically positive political environment where
Democrats are overperforming in all special elections since Trump was
inaugurated, including in congressional special elections by more than 17%,"
the DCCC said in a news release.




 



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Just last week, Democrats sent shockwaves through Texas when they flipped a
state Senate district that Trump had carried by 17 points in 2024.

That follows other special-election overperformances in Tennessee and Virginia
that have Republicans in full-on crisis mode.

Democrats’ overperformances come as Trump’s popularity plummets. Since Jan.
1, his job approval rating has fallen from 40% down to 38%, according to
FiftyPlusOne’s polling average. Since the start of the year, Trump’s
immigration goons have killed two U.S. citizens and have brutalized many more
as they carry out their deportation agenda in Minnesota.




 



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In fact, a number of GOP lawmakers in otherwise safe Republican districts have
since announced their retirements—a sign they know they will be returning in
2025 in the minority.

While the new Democratic targets will be heavy lifts, there are signs the
ground is shifting in their favor.

Democrat Jake Johnson, who is running to oust Finstad in Minnesota's 1st
District, released an internal poll on Monday showing him down just 3 points,
with Finstad at 44% and Johnson at 41%. That's an eye-popping result in a seat
Trump carried by 12 points in 2024, according to The Downballot, and that
Finstad won by 17.

And in November, Democrat Jessica Killin released an internal poll showing her
also down just 3 points to Crank in Colorado's 5th, which Trump won by 9 points
and Crank carried by 14 points in 2024.

“Democrats are on offense, and our map reflects the fact that everyday
Americans are tired of Republicans’ broken promises and ready for change in
Congress,” DCCC Chair Suzan DelBene said in a news release.



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