A practical way to ride the IPO wave without overpaying on day
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[Morning Watchlist]

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-------------------------

HOW TO TRADE SPACEX WITHOUT TRADING SPACEX

One of the best ways to invest in a high-profile IPO is often by NOT
INVESTING IN THE IPO DIRECTLY.

That may sound backward, but IPO investing can be a true coin flip.
Sometimes a newly public stock explodes higher and never looks back.
Other times the hype fades, lockups expire, early holders sell, and
the stock spends months (or years) repairing technical damage.

The bigger the headline, the more dangerous the first-day “FOMO”
can be. Early pricing frequently reflects peak enthusiasm, not peak
value.

That’s why, when the market starts buzzing about a possible SpaceX
IPO, many investors immediately ask the same question: _How do I get
exposure without taking unnecessary day-one risk?_

-------------------------

THE SPACEX IPO RUMOR MILL IS HEATING UP AGAIN

Recent reporting has indicated SpaceX is exploring a blockbuster IPO
in 2026, with Reuters reporting the company could seek to raise MORE
THAN $25 BILLION and potentially carry a valuation ABOVE $1 TRILLION.

Separately, the Financial Times and other outlets have reported that
SpaceX has been in discussions with major Wall Street banks about a
potential listing.

To be clear: none of this makes an IPO “certain.” Timing,
structure, and valuation can all change. But the headlines alone are
enough to do two things:

*
Pull investor attention toward the broader IPO ecosystem, and

*
Set up a potential “IPO cycle” trade if new listings accelerate.

So if you want to position for a SpaceX-style mega-IPO without betting
your portfolio on a single stock debut, there are two practical
approaches: OWN THE IPO PIPELINE THROUGH ETFS.

-------------------------

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-------------------------

OPTION #1:
ETF: FIRST TRUST US EQUITY OPPORTUNITIES ETF (SYM: FPX)

FPX is one of the most established “IPO basket” ETFs. It’s
designed to give investors exposure to a systematic portfolio of newly
public U.S. stocks—without needing to pick which IPO will be a
winner.

HOW FPX WORKS
FPX seeks investment results that correspond to the IPOX®-100 U.S.
INDEX and typically invests at least 90% OF NET ASSETS in the stocks
that make up the index. In short, it’s a rules-based way to own
newly public companies during the period when IPO excitement and
institutional repositioning can be most active.

COST
FPX’s expense ratio is widely listed at 0.61%.

CURRENT PRICE CONTEXT
As of today (January 26, 2026), FPX is trading around $166.

WHY FPX CAN BE A “SPACEX WITHOUT SPACEX” STRATEGY

FPX does not currently own SpaceX (SpaceX is private). But if SpaceX
does go public (and if it meets index eligibility rules (U.S.-listed,
sufficient liquidity/float, etc.)) a newly public SpaceX could
potentially be included in the IPO-focused index universe that FPX
tracks.

That “if” matters. Index inclusion is not guaranteed. But from a
portfolio construction standpoint, FPX offers something useful either
way:

*
If SpaceX lists and becomes eligible, you may get indirect exposure.

*
If SpaceX does not list, you still own a diversified portfolio tied to
IPO market momentum.

WHAT TO WATCH (RISKS AND TRADEOFFS)

IPO baskets can be volatile. They tend to perform best when:

*
risk appetite is rising,

*
liquidity is improving, and

*
new issuance is strong.

They tend to struggle when:

*
rates rise sharply,

*
growth multiples compress, or

*
IPO volume dries up.

Bottom line: FPX is best viewed as a TACTICAL WAY TO PLAY THE IPO
CYCLE.

-------------------------

_RAD Intel_

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-------------------------

OPTION #2:
ETF: RENAISSANCE IPO ETF (SYM: IPO)

If you want a second ETF option with a clear rules-based structure
around newly public companies, the RENAISSANCE IPO ETF (IPO) is built
for that purpose.

HOW IPO WORKS
Renaissance describes IPO as providing exposure to the LARGEST, MOST
LIQUID U.S.-LISTED NEWLY PUBLIC COMPANIES in one security, aiming to
reduce single-stock risk while avoiding overlap with major core
indices.

A key feature: the ETF is REBALANCED QUARTERLY as new IPOs come in,
and older constituents typically CYCLE OUT THREE YEARS AFTER THEIR
IPO. That structure is important because it keeps the portfolio
focused on the “newly public” window rather than turning into just
another generic growth fund.

COST
Renaissance lists the expense ratio at 0.60%.

CURRENT PRICE CONTEXT
As of today (January 26, 2026), IPO is trading around $47.83.

WHY IPO CAN FIT ALONGSIDE FPX

FPX and IPO are both “IPO exposure,” but they are NOT IDENTICAL:

*
Different indexes and inclusion rules can lead to different holdings
and performance profiles.

*
In some market environments, one may outperform the other depending on
how it weights and rotates constituents.

If you want to keep it simple, you can pick one. If you want to
diversify within the “IPO theme,” a split allocation can reduce
fund-specific tracking and methodology risk.

WHY THIS APPROACH CAN BE SMARTER THAN BUYING A HYPED IPO

High-profile IPOs often come with the same predictable challenges:

*
PRICING RISK: IPO prices and early trading can reflect maximum
optimism.

*
VOLATILITY RISK: first weeks can be chaotic, with wide spreads and
headline swings.

*
LOCKUP AND SUPPLY RISK: additional shares often hit the market later,
changing supply/demand.

*
NARRATIVE RISK: “vision” can outrun fundamentals—especially in
megadeals.

By using IPO-focused ETFs, you can participate in the broader listing
cycle while avoiding the all-or-nothing gamble of a single debut.

And with SpaceX specifically, the uncertainty is real. Even though
reporting has suggested a potential 2026 IPO raising more than $25
billion, plans can shift with market conditions, regulatory posture,
and internal strategic priorities.

-------------------------

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_Disclaimer: Results are not typical and will vary from person to
person. Making money trading stocks and options takes time, timing,
proper execution, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks
involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of
your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of
future results. Any investment is at your own risk._

-------------------------

_Are there any other IPOs you're looking forward to this year? What
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"reply" to this email and let us know your thoughts!_

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We encourage you to conduct your own due diligence and research before
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This disclosure is made as of 1/27/2026.

We are issuing this disclosure in compliance with Section 17(b) of the
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