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Washington Democrats’ favorite climate trophy—the Climate Commitment Act (CCA)—is looking a lot less impressive once someone actually checks the math.
A new report from the Washington State Department of Ecology claims $1.5 billion in CO₂ tax revenue magically delivered nearly 9 million metric tons of emissions reductions at a bargain-basement price of $40 per ton. Ecology even compared it to taking 40% of gas and diesel cars off the road for a year. It all sounds very bold, very virtuous—and very wrong.
In reality, the report’s own underlying data quietly collapses under basic scrutiny. Roughly 86% of the claimed emissions reductions come from just eight projects, allegedly cutting CO₂ for $1–$4 per metric ton. That’s not optimistic—that’s fantasy. There are effectively no real-world climate projects anywhere that achieve reductions at that price.
One standout example: the City of Ellensburg used a $4.1 million grant to install heat pumps and electric upgrades in 170 buildings. Ecology’s report claims this single effort reduced emissions equal to 60% of all residential CO₂ emissions in Washington for an entire year. That’s not just implausible—it’s absurd.
Even worse for Democrats, staff at the Washington State Department of Commerce, which helped compile the report, admitted there was a data error. Ecology was informed. Then… silence.
Despite this, Ecology Director Casey Sixkiller praised the report as “transparent,” and Seattle Times climate coverage eagerly promoted it without a shred of skepticism—treating the press release as gospel.
Once the obvious errors are corrected, the picture changes dramatically:
- Actual emissions reductions drop to about 14% of what Democrats claimed
- Average cost balloons to $395 per metric ton
- Meanwhile, the state’s CO₂ tax is only $70 per ton, and the state’s own “social cost of carbon” is $99
Translation: Washington is spending $395 to avoid $99 in harm—and that’s before Democrats wave their hands about vague, unmeasured “co-benefits” they never bother to quantify.
And here’s the kicker: about 70% of CCA spending isn’t even expected to reduce emissions at all, including millions for things like bicycle education programs that don’t claim any CO₂ impact whatsoever.
This isn’t climate leadership. It’s spreadsheet activism—where inflated numbers justify higher taxes, sloppy accounting gets a free pass, and anyone who questions the math is told to “trust the process.”
If Democrats want billions more through new taxes—including an income tax—they could start by telling the truth about what their flagship climate policy actually delivers. Right now, the CCA looks less like a climate success story and more like a cautionary tale in how ideology replaces accountability when no one’s willing to check the calculator. Read more at the Washington Policy Center.
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