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** Mansharamani Musings
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In preparation for the publication of my annual set of predictions (click HERE ([link removed]) to see an archive of all predictions going back to 2015), I am seeking input from the amazingly diverse community of students, clients, colleagues, executives, government leaders, academics, and journalists who receive this newsletter.

My December 28th post is a set of questions for which I’d like your thoughts. The survey is open until Saturday, January 3rd and I would be grateful if you could take five minutes to answer the questions…you’ll also get a preview of what the Navigating Uncertainty ([link removed]) audience is thinking!

Links to my other December posts are below!

Lastly, and most importantly, I want to wish you and your family the very best for a happy, healthy, productive, and idea-filled 2026!

B ([link removed]) est,
Vikram

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DECEMBER 7, 2025

Regular readers of my work know that I have been closely watching America’s foreign policy during Trump’s second term. While others saw incoherence or contradictions – destroying drug boats in the Caribbean but not those of the Houthi’s in the Red Sea, pulling back from much of the world while getting more engaged in South America, moving on from the War of Terror while still using its doctrines, tactics, and legal justifications – I have repeatedly argued ([link removed]) that these seemingly disconnected actions are the output of a coherent policy.

Many also still believe in the false dichotomy of an isolationist versus interventionist approach to foreign policy. This framing confounds useful analysis. A more useful consideration, I believe, is not whether or not to intervene, but rather where, if at all, intervention might make sense. Thinking on these terms helps make sense of what on first glance seems like inconsistent policy. So where does the White House think America should be willing to intervene to protect our interests? The answer is simple: The Western Hemisphere.

Recent news confirms that the Trump Administration is worrying less about Chinese and Russian influence in Eastern Europe, Africa, and Southeast Asia and more about their operations in our backyard. Think of the approach as the second incarnation of the Monroe Doctrine ([link removed]) , a modern day version of the foreign policy framework that…
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DECEMBER 14, 2025

Earlier this year, I wrote a short piece about pizza’s power to predict major domestic and geopolitical events, noting that unusually large late night pizza order delivered to the Pentagon, White House, or even Congress had been correlated with major geopolitical developments emerging from Washington DC. After all, during an emerging or ongoing crisis, professionals involved in the planning or execution of a response or military action are probably stuck in a secure location and pizza becomes the fuel to power the team through the tense night. Nice theory, but does it work?

The short answer is yes. Turns out that pizza deliveries boomed during the nights before the First Gulf War began, the Clinton impeachment, the May 2011 raid on Osama Bin Laden, and even Israel’s attack on Gaza. Sure seems that unexpected surges in pizza deliveries to the secure offices of important decision-makers are an early signal of something big about to happen.

As someone who has advised leaders to navigate global uncertainty by connecting developments across seemingly disparate or disconnected domains, the relationship between pizza and world-shaking events naturally caught my attention. But the more I think about it…

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DECEMBER 21, 2025

Over the course of the past decade, a populist wave has been crashing all over the globe, fueled by inflation, inequality, the cross currents of globalization and technological change, and widespread frustration with elites. A new crop of political leaders – charismatic, bombastic, social media savvy – has capitalized on these grievances, framing elections as increasingly between the common man and the morally bankrupt elites running corrupt institutions that are robbing citizens of opportunity.

These new leaders have reshaped the political landscape in many countries. Here’s a quick sampling of rising populist politics around the world:

* Italy: Giorgia Meloni ([link removed]) has served as Italy’s prime minister since 2022. Her campaign focused on national sovereignty, cultural identity, and working-class interests, resonating with voters frustrated by globalization and immigration.
* Sweden: The Sweden Democrats ([link removed]) , a right-wing populist party, emerged as the second-most popular party in the country’s 2022 elections and has reshaped Sweden’s political dialogue. Their platform centers on anti-immigration policies and skepticism toward the European Union.
* France: Marine Le Pen’s National Rally has steadily gained support and influence over years with its increasing focus on national identity, anti-immigration, and Euroscepticism; a recent poll ([link removed]) shows its candidate winning the next presidential election.
* Germany: Alternative for Germany ([link removed]) (AfD) has become a major force, especially in the east, as immigration has undermined the standing of the country’s traditional parties.
* Indonesia: Prabowo Subianto ([link removed]) won the presidency in 2024, riding a wave of economic discontent and political disillusionment. The former military leader and successful businessman offered to bring discipline to a unruly elite.
* Pakistan: Imran Khan capitalized on discontent with the country’s traditional hereditary political parties and marshalled the support of Pakistani youth to become prime minister in 2018 ([link removed]) , only to be deposed in a no-confidence vote that was widely-seen as being engineered by the country’s military.

And of course, we can’t forget about the political earthquake in America that began with the 2016 election of Donald Trump and the upheaval that followed in its wake. Many of the same themes and issues mentioned above are echoed in America First policies and motivate the MAGA coalition.

It now looks like this populist wave is crashing down on the southern part of our hemisphere as well, as shown by recent election…
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DECEMBER 28, 2025

As I have done since 2012 (and publicly posted since 2015), I make predictions of what might occur during the following five years ([link removed]) . The process of drafting my annual list of global developments to watch takes months, during which time I test my craziest ideas on corporate leaders, government officials, academics, journalists, and former students.

This week, I’m seeking input from Navigating Uncertainty readers and to reward you for the 5-7 minutes it might take you to answer the following 20 questions, you’ll see real time poll results as you submit your responses! You’ll also be getting a glimpse into what an extraordinarily diverse global audience of leaders is thinking about.

A final note before we begin: the questions are presented in random order; there is no
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** Read Vikram’s Prior Predictions!
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Since 2015, Dr. Mansharamani has publicly posted a set of global developments to watch over the following five years. Corporate executives, government leaders (including several heads of state!), journalists, academics, and others eagerly read, reread, and look forward to his annual piece. If you reread his prior pieces, you’ll find some developments he noted come to fruition, and others simply did not happen. But as Dr. Mansharamani repeatedly notes, the goal of the predictions is not accuracy, but instead usefulness in provoking thoughts about possible futures. Click on the link below to review his posts from 2015 through 2025.
Mansharamani Predictions: 2015-2030 ([link removed])

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** NAVIGATING UNCERTAINTY
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As many of you are aware, I’ve returned to writing my weekly newsletter and have been pleased by the rapidly growing interest in my thoughts. As I have in the past, I’m addressing a wide range of topics, ranging from geopolitics and economics to social trends to technology. The overall theme of my work is focused on “navigating uncertainty” and how a generalist approach can help us all make sense of what seems like chaos.

If you have not already done so, please consider subscribing!
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** Want Vikram to speak at your event?
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** About Vikram
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VIKRAM MANSHARAMANI is an entrepreneur, consultant, scholar, neighbor, husband, father, volunteer, and professional generalist who thinks in multiple-dimensions and looks beyond the short-term. Self-taught to think around corners and connect original dots, he spends his time speaking with global leaders in business, government, academia, and journalism. He’s currently the Chairman and CEO of Goodwell Foods, a manufacturer of private label frozen pizza. LinkedIn has twice listed him as its #1 Top Voice in Money & Finance, and Worth profiled him as one of the 100 Most Powerful People in Global Finance. Vikram earned a PhD From MIT, has taught at Yale and Harvard, and is the author of three books, The Making of a Generalist: An Independent Thinker Finds Unconventional Success in an Uncertain World ([link removed]) , Think for Yourself: Restoring Common Sense in an Age of Experts and Artificial Intelligence ([link removed]) and Boombustology: Spotting Financial Bubbles Before
They Burst ([link removed]) . Vikram lives in Lincoln, New Hampshire with his wife and two children, where they can usually be found hiking or skiing.
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