Here’s what “smart money” buying may be telegraphing into early 2026. ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­  

Morning Watchlist

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Dear Fellow Investor,

Here’s what billionaires are buying hand over fist.

If a billionaire is buying, it’s worth paying attention. Not because big-money moves are always “right” (they aren’t), but because these investors typically have deep research teams, long time horizons, and a strong incentive to avoid low-conviction bets.

Still, one crucial point: billionaire buying is a signal, not a guarantee.

The real edge comes from using that signal the right way, asking: What changed? What do they see? What would have to go right for the thesis to work? And just as importantly: What could break the trade?

Below are three names drawing notable billionaire and insider interest, along with the key drivers, what we want to see next, and the risks to keep in view.


Company: Nike (SYM: NKE)
Insider confidence after a sharp drop

Nike slid from about $69 to a low of $56.99 on weak China sales, declining gross margins, and a cautious outlook. In other words, the market hit the stock with a classic “growth reset”: weaker demand signals plus profitability pressure.

But while the headline numbers looked rough, insiders stepped in, and that matters.

Apple’s Tim Cook bought roughly $3 million worth of Nike stock near the bottom of the trend. Cook, who has served on Nike’s board since 2005, purchased 50,000 shares at an average price of $58.97. Another Nike director, Robert Swan, also bought, picking up about $500,000 worth of stock on Dec. 22 at an average price of $57.54.

Insider buying doesn’t magically fix fundamentals, but it can tell you something important: the people closest to the business are willing to commit fresh capital at current prices. That often suggests they believe the market has overshot to the downside—or that upcoming initiatives aren’t fully reflected in the stock.

What we’re watching next for Nike

  • China demand stabilization: The narrative turns when sequential trends stop deteriorating. Even “less bad” can help.

  • Gross margin trajectory: Margin pressure is often what keeps institutional buyers sidelined. Improvement here can re-rate the stock.

  • Inventory and promotions: If discounting persists, it can weigh on brand power and profitability longer than investors expect.

  • Forward guidance tone: The market is very sensitive to the direction of guidance changes, not just the level.

Bottom line: Nike isn’t out of the woods yet, but insider confidence at these levels is an encouraging data point. If margins and China trends stabilize, the stock can rebuild a bullish base. If they don’t, rallies may remain tactical rather than durable.


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Company: Alphabet (SYM: GOOG)
Billionaires position around the AI buildout

In the third quarter, billionaires jumped into Alphabet (SYM: GOOG).

  • Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway bought more than 17.8 million shares.

  • Stanley Druckenmiller’s Duquesne Family Office initiated a new position, buying 102,200 shares.

  • Philippe Laffont’s Coatue Management bought about 2.1 million shares.

That’s a strong “cluster” of interest. When multiple high-profile, process-driven investors build positions in the same period, it often reflects a shared conclusion: the risk/reward has improved.

Technically, after catching support around $300, GOOG is starting to pivot higher. From here, we’d like to see a rally to at least $350 in the first quarter of 2026—ideally on improving breadth and steady volume, which tends to signal institutional sponsorship.

What’s fueling upside
The primary tailwind is the AI boom. Markets are rewarding companies that can (1) build and monetize AI products, and (2) scale infrastructure to support compute-heavy workloads.

Alphabet also announced an acquisition of Intersect, a data center and energy infrastructure company, positioning it to expand capacity and move more nimbly in pairing power generation with data center demand. As Sundar Pichai put it (as quoted by CNBC), Intersect is intended to help Alphabet “expand capacity” and “reimagine energy solutions” to drive U.S. innovation and leadership.

What we’re watching next for Alphabet

  • AI monetization proof points: Product adoption is great, but the market ultimately wants margin-aware revenue growth.

  • Capex discipline: AI infrastructure can be expensive; investors watch whether spend is translating into durable earnings power.

  • Ad market durability: Advertising still matters; resilience here can support the base business while AI scales.

  • Regulatory and competitive pressures: Even great businesses can underperform if headline risk dominates.

Bottom line: This is the most “institutional-quality” name on the list, large, liquid, and with multiple growth levers. The key is whether the AI buildout becomes a meaningful earnings driver without permanently compressing margins.


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Company: D-Wave Quantum (SYM: QBTS)
High-risk, high-upside attention in a new cycle

Quantum computing is gaining attention again—and D-Wave (QBTS) is one of the names benefiting from renewed interest.

Billionaire Ken Griffin’s Citadel increased its stake in QBTS by 201% by adding 169,057 shares.

D-Wave also announced the availability of its Advantage2 quantum computing system. CEO Alan Baratz called it a milestone for both D-Wave and the broader industry, arguing it can solve certain hard problems outside the reach of even major GPU-based classical supercomputers (as quoted by Seeking Alpha).

Now, the important part: quantum computing remains early. The opportunity is massive, but so is the uncertainty. These stocks can move sharply on announcements, sentiment cycles, and risk-on/risk-off swings—often well ahead of fundamentals.

Why the long-term story gets investors excited
If quantum computing reaches broad practical utility, it could compress complex problem-solving timelines from days to minutes (or even seconds). Potential applications frequently cited include:

  • drug discovery and molecular simulation

  • machine learning optimization

  • financial modeling and portfolio optimization

  • cybersecurity and encryption-related workloads

  • battery research and materials science

  • grid and energy system optimization

Analysts have suggested the quantum computing market could eventually be worth about $850 billion by 2040, as noted by Forbes.

What we’re watching next for D-Wave

  • Commercial traction: Customers, revenue quality, and repeatable use cases matter more than headlines.

  • Cash burn and funding risk: Early-stage tech can face dilution risk if capital markets tighten.

  • Competitive landscape: Multiple approaches exist (annealing, gate-model, hybrid strategies), and leadership can shift.

  • Volatility management: Position sizing and entry discipline are non-negotiable in names like this.

Bottom line: QBTS is the speculative option—potentially meaningful upside if quantum adoption accelerates, but with substantial execution and financing risk. Treat it like a venture-style equity position, not a blue-chip holding.


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Billionaires don't often agree on much.

But right now, 19 of them – along with 91 hedge funds and the 2 biggest asset managers on Earth – have piled into the same little-known AI stock.

Why?

Because they see what I see:

This company could be the essential supplier to Elon Musk's new AI venture – the move I call "Elon's Final Move."

Elon is building a supercomputer so powerful it literally knocked out power in Palo Alto.

And he's stockpiling AI chips as fast as he can get them.

Nvidia can't keep up.

That's where this smaller rival comes in.

Its latest GPU is almost 2.5X more powerful than Nvidia's.

It's about 15x smaller in market value… with far more room to run if it closes the gap.

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Are there any other stocks with recent insider or billionaire buys that you've got your eye on? What other sectors of the market are you currently interested in? Hit "reply" to this email and let us know your thoughts!

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