Pundits and media contributors have compared the 2026 midterms to 2018, saying Democrats will be just as successful this cycle.

In 2018, Democrats regained the U.S. House majority by winning 40 seats. Now, people are saying we could win as many—or even more—in 2026.

But there’s one big difference: the math.

In 2018, there were 23 safe blue and 25 “swing” districts held by Republicans. In 2026, that number is down to just 3 safe blue and 19 “swing” Republican-held districts.

Add in the GOP’s recent push for mid-cycle redistricting—picking up 2 to 5 seats at a time—and we’ve got a serious problem.

With this math, the GOP could easily hold onto their majority in both the Senate and the U.S. House.

But here in Arizona, our maps won’t be redrawn. Our three "swing" districts are here to stay and could be the deciding factor in who controls the House.

Friend, would you be willing to donate to the Victory Fund today? 

We are committed to winning these three races, and with the House majority coming down to single digits, every cent makes a difference.