| As the former Trump Campaign Manager, I was relentlessly ATTACKED on live TV for predicting that President Trump would win the White House. | | But I didn’t care. Because my commitment will always be to the truth. I will always follow the numbers no matter what. | | That’s why I sincerely hope you take what I’m about to tell you very seriously. | | And no – I promise you it’s not just another report on the Democrats’ sky-high fundraising numbers. It’s about real polling, real data, and a real trend that could become a big problem if it’s not addressed immediately. | | From Cook Political Report: “Republicans just can’t count on Trump’s more peripherally-engaged voters to show up when Trump isn’t on the ballot. | | So far in 2025, the partisan intensity gap looks awfully similar to the one at this point in 2017. | | ...across two House special elections... Democrats have been averaging 63% of Harris’s 2024 vote totals while Republicans have been averaging just 45% of Trump’s. | | If that pattern were extrapolated across all 435 districts next fall, Democrats would win a whopping 279 seats — 61 more than they need for a majority.” | | I think we can let out a collective sigh of relief that Rep. Elise Stefanik chose to withdraw her nomination for U.N. Ambassador so as not to trigger yet another House special election! | | Not only that, as House GOP Leadership Chair, Elise has been working hard to make sure our voter file is up to date! | | But now we need to slightly change course. It’s no longer just about simply verifying voters. It’s about verifying which voters we can truly count on to show up… | | …It’s about verifying that the Trump voters who show up in presidential years ALSO show up in the midterms to save the House. It’s about CLOSING the “partisan intensity gap.” | | Because if we do not… Democrats will have a 279-seat House majority. I cannot even begin to fathom what that would look like. | |
