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New Urban Institute analysis finds that the combined impact of proposed changes to SNAP, Medicaid, and federal income tax, as written in the House of Representatives’ One Big Beautiful Bill Act, would lower resources for low-income families. In particular, reductions or restrictions related primarily to food assistance and health insurance are estimated to leave 22.6 million families worse off.


Using microsimulation analysis,
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the report examines how these policies affect economic wellbeing for families at different income levels, finding that:
- Families in poverty would make up more than half of all families who would lose resources as a result of key provisions of the House bill and only 6 percent of all families who gain resources.
- Higher income families would make up the largest share of families gaining resources, with families above 400 percent of poverty making up more than a quarter of all families who gain resources. These higher-income families make up 1 percent of families who lose resources.
- For families in poverty, resource losses far outweigh resource gains, with average annual estimated losses more than five times higher than average annual estimated gains.
- Key provisions of the bill would result in 1.4 million more people being in poverty, including 400,000 children and 200,000 adults age 65 and older.

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To learn more,
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read the report , which includes further analysis of the differences in the extent to which families “win” or “lose” from proposed policies based on income levels.


If you have questions about the research, please reply to this email. We’re happy to connect you with an expert.


Thanks,
- The Stakeholder Outreach team

U R B A N I N S T I T U T E

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www.urban.org




Urban Institute is a nonprofit research organization that believes in the power of evidence to improve people’s lives. Urban as an organization does not take policy positions but Urban’s independent experts are empowered to make recommendations based on their research.


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