Urban Institute Update
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How would the reconciliation bill and end of enhanced subsidies affect provider revenue and uncompensated care?
Health care providers could lose $771 billion in revenue over the next decade from the combined losses of Medicaid and Marketplace coverage in the reconciliation bill passed by the House of Representatives, Urban researchers find. These coverage losses would also lead to an increase in uncompensated care of almost $200 billion from 2025 to 2034.
The enhanced premium tax credits (PTCs) are also due to expire at the end of 2025. If enhanced PTCs expire and the reconciliation bill is enacted, the combined coverage losses would lead to a $1.03 trillion decrease in health care spending and $278 billion increase in uncompensated care sought by the uninsured over the next decade.
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