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The Hundred Days War
If the words “first 100 days” give you existential dread about the time left to go, you probably won’t feel too comforted by the fact that Trump is already selling “Trump 2028” hats ([link removed]) . Although we’ll probably all be living in The Last of Us universe by then, so maybe we’ve got other things to worry about.
We tracked ([link removed]) a series of economic questions for Trump's first 100 days. Over the last three months, the percentage of voters who say the Trump administration is going “worse than expected” has shot up from 32% to 43% — an 11-point increase. When the bar was so low it was basically already in Hell, it’s a pretty impressive result!
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Right now, voters’ approval of Trump’s tariffs is kind of like the feeling you get the next morning after staying up way too late binge watching Love Island — it’s a choice that simply did not need to be made. More than 3 in 4 voters (76%) say Trump is prioritizing tariffs, while only around 1 in 5 voters (19%) say he’s prioritizing lowering costs.
Additionally, the percentage of voters saying the country's economic conditions are “poor” rose from 22% in late January to 31% by mid-April — including an increase from 23% to 39% among Independents.
Right now, the stock market is bouncing back up, which could be attributed to a phenomenon known as the “dead cat bounce ([link removed]) .” To which we have to ask: did JD Vance meet with the cat?
Read the full poll here ([link removed]) .
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Here are some other highlights from DFP this week:
Medicaid: your friend with benefits
Republicans in Congress are currently planning a budget that would include devastating cuts to Medicaid. It’s like if you cut back on your insulin shots so that you could tip the CEO of your company every year, except on a nationwide scale. And that CEO is Elon Musk.
Our new polling ([link removed]) with Caring Across Generations finds that nationwide, 50% of voters want Congress to increase funding for Medicaid, 38% want funding to be kept as it is, and 8% want to cut funding. For some context, that means cuts to Medicaid are literally less popular than the Black Plague ([link removed]) .
The surveys were then modeled using a synthetic area weighting technique to estimate results at the congressional district level (don’t worry, you don’t need to know what that means).
The model finds that in every congressional district in the U.S., less than 15% of voters support cuts to Medicaid.
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This same pattern is true for HCBS funding, which supports home and community-based care services.
Isn’t that the best map covered in red you’ve ever seen? This data should serve as a clarion call to Democrats — do not concede an inch to Republicans on Medicaid in the upcoming budget reconciliation fight, and hammer them on the issue every chance you get.
Read the full poll here ([link removed]) .
It's not natural to politicize natural disasters!
This week was Earth Week, and let’s just say Mother Earth’s been better. Thanks to us humans, natural resources are being depleted, whole wildlife species and habitats are getting destroyed, and extreme weather and natural disasters are becoming all too common. Given this reality, providing federal relief to disaster-stricken communities shouldn’t even be a question, but we live in a world where Katy Perry can go on an 11-minute vanity trip to space at the expense of our climate, so everything feels like it isn’t how it should be these days.
Earlier this year, when wildfires were still devastating Southern California, Trump did what he normally does — lie and spread misinformation. He blamed California’s progressive policies for the fires and threatened to withhold disaster relief funding from the state unless it bowed to his policy whims.
Thankfully, there are leaders like Rep. Judy Chu, whose district was directly impacted by the historic wildfires, advocating in Congress for disaster relief without political strings attached. For DFP Insights, Rep. Chu writes ([link removed]) :
“The federal government has a duty to respond to them by delivering urgently needed relief without prejudice or bias for all Americans, regardless of whether that state swings red or blue. The help of FEMA is critical because states often lack the capacity to contain extreme disasters and provide the relief necessary for communities to recover. And the federal government has never in our history imposed policy conditions on disaster relief funding, because these matters are both urgent and nonpartisan. This seems like a no-brainer.”
In our polling, we find that 71% of voters, including majorities across party lines, say that “disaster relief should be given freely without any conditions attached.”
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As Rep. Chu wrote, “Disaster relief is not and should never be a partisan issue, and voters across the political spectrum overwhelmingly agree that help should come with no strings attached. That shouldn’t only be the standard for California — it should be the case for any state, red or blue, that is hit by the devastation of a natural disaster.”
We couldn’t have said it better ourselves!
Read the full DFP Insights here ([link removed]) .
DFP In The News
Politico: Why Dems ‘keep talking about due process’ in the case of man mistakenly deported to El Salvador ([link removed])
NPR Politics Podcast: How the culture wars influenced Trump's first 100 days ([link removed])
Politico NY: Most city voters back universal childcare as issue emerges in mayor’s race, poll finds ([link removed])
The xxxxxx: 100 Days In, Mass Deportation Is a Failure ([link removed])
Zeteo: EXCLUSIVE: Dem Voters Overwhelmingly Say US Should Cut Aid to Israel Until It Stops Attacking Civilians ([link removed])
On Social
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Meme of the Week
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