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Recent press reports have raised the question of whether California will miss the governor’s ZEV sales mandates, currently set at requiring that 35% of new light duty vehicle (LDV) sales in 2026 be qualifying plug-in electric vehicles (PEVs), 68% by 2030, and 100% by 2035. These questions are based on recent Energy Commission sales data showing that the annual PEV market share essentially showed no movement, notching up to only 25.3% in 2024 from 25.0% in 2023. In total, the Energy Commission data shows only 2,091 more PEVs were sold in California in 2024.
Data in the latest report from California New Car Dealers Association (CNCDA), however, indicates this sales plateau is not just a temporary glitch. PEV market share has instead been largely static over the past 8 quarters, averaging 25.2% with a variance of only 0.1%.
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