John,
Last Saturday evening, after President Trump signed
the order imposing tariffs on Canadian products imported in the US, I
posted the following text detailing how Canada should respond.
We are
entering a crisis situation, and I believe it’s very important for you
to read this as a PPC supporter, if you haven’t already on social
media.
The People’s Party is the only federal party that
does not advocate
retaliating against Trump’s actions with our own tariffs on imported
US goods, as the Trudeau government has already announced with the
support of all the other establishment parties – including the Conservatives
– and the provincial governments.
*****
It’s important to understand
that the 25% tariffs announced by President Trump today are NOT
imposed on Canada — they will be paid by American consumers and
businesses who buy goods imported from Canada. Tariffs are a tax, and
Americans who will have to pay more or go without our products will be
the first to suffer.
Of course, Canadian exporters of these
goods will as a consequence lose clients, contracts and sales, and
will be forced to cut down on production and lay off workers. Or they
will lower their prices to keep market shares and will see their
profits diminish.
Because 75% of our exports go south of the
border, our economy will for sure be very negatively impacted by this.
The stupidest thing our government can do however to deal with
this crisis is to impose the same kind of tariffs “dollar for dollar”
against US imports.
The US economy is ten times bigger than
ours, much less reliant on trade than ours, and much less dependent on
our market than we are on theirs.
Not only would retaliatory
tariffs have much less impact on American exporters, they would
immediately impoverish Canadian consumers forced to pay more for
imported goods, as well as destabilize Canadian businesses that need
inputs from the US in their production processes. It would more than
double the harm of the US tariffs to our economy.
Trade wars
are bad for everyone, but they are much worse for a small country with
fewer options. We simply cannot win a trade war with the US. It’s very
unlikely that Trump will back down. All we will do is provoke a
massive economic crisis in Canada, until we are forced to capitulate.
Another self-destructive thing to do would be to set up giant
“pandemic-level” bailout plans to support everyone affected by this
trade war. This will simply bankrupt our governments even more than
they already are and make us even weaker.
So what should we
do?
1. Double down on efforts to control our border, crack
down on fentanyl dealers, deport all illegals, and impose a complete
moratorium on immigration, to answer Trump’s immediate concerns about
Canada.
2. Tell the US administration that we are ready to
renegotiate North American free trade and put dairy supply management
and other contentious issues on the table.
3. Wait and see to
what extent Trump is willing to keep tariffs in place despite the harm
it does to the US economy. Despite his pretenses that Americans don’t
need our stuff, the reality is that on the contrary they have few
other options for crucial resources like oil, lumber, uranium and
other minerals, etc. He will stop acting like a bully when he sees
that he can get more results by sitting down and negotiating.
4. To reduce our dependence on the US market, immediately
implement an ambitious plan to tear down interprovincial trade
barriers and help our impacted exporting industries find alternative
markets in other countries.
5. Immediately implement a series
of bold reforms to make our economy more productive, including: reduce
corporate and personal taxes, abolish the capital gains tax, abolish
all corporate subsidies, get rid of excessive regulation, remove
impediments to the exploitation and export of natural resources,
drastically cut government spending, mandate the Bank of Canada to
stop printing money and start accumulating a gold reserve to prepare
for the global monetary reset (which is likely part of Trump’s plan).
In short, instead of adopting a suicidal strategy to confront
Trump, we must do what we should have done a long time ago to
strengthen our economy and our bargaining position. The transition
will be rough, but not as much as complete bankruptcy and
disintegration.
*******
Please take a moment to
forward this message to a friend, a colleague or a family member who
is preoccupied by the situation and is trying to understand what is
going on. We need as many people as possible to read this.
Best,
-Max