It's really hard to run for political officeI ran for office three years ago. I don't think I'm going to do it again anytime soon. The challenges I see are contributing to a more polarized political environment.
This post was originally sent to the newsletter of WelcomePAC, a community of centrist Democrats supporting candidates who can win swing voters, protect democracy, and govern effectively. Become a paid subscriber for 60% off with this link to access all their content and help grow their community. Three years ago, I was running for U.S. Congress in St. Louis. When I started running, it was a true 50/50 district.¹ I was lucky to have the support of voters, friends, local organizations, and national groups like WelcomePAC. By most objective measures, we ran a pretty good campaign.² But in the waning hours of the 2022 legislative session, the Republican-controlled legislature made the district about 10 points more Republican and, for good measure, drew my house out of the district I was running in by about a block.³ With no real path to winning, I couldn’t in good faith ask people for more time, energy, money, and support.⁴ So I dropped out.⁵ I get asked a lot whether I’m likely to run for office again. There’s a classic I-wouldn’t-rule-anything-out attitude in politics,⁶ but with every year that goes by, it’s less and less likely that I do it again. We need to find ways to make it easier for good people⁷ to run for office. Because right now, it’s brutally difficult—especially for the sorts of candidates whose profiles give them the best chance of winning hard races.⁸ On a good day, only 45% of people hate youYou know that going in, and you know that you’re not going to be able to please everyone. But what caught me by surprise:
I ran because, in a Republican-leaning district, I thought my background—as an unapologetic pragmatist—was a good fit for the district, and better than what we’d been getting:
The most successful candidates—Representatives like Marie Gluesenkamp Perez and Jared Golden who consistently win in Republican-leaning districts—do so by running this kind of campaign: independent-minded and focused on local issues. To win in purple and red-leaning districts, Democrats have to meet voters where they are—and that very often means finding areas where you can differentiate yourself from an unpopular national brand. That’s especially true right now: the economy was the top issue for voters in 2024,¹² and voters trusted Donald Trump on this issue considerably more than Kamala Harris. So fighting among Democrats because your message is too politically inclusive? That’s bang-your-head-against-a-wall frustrating when you’re running for a Republican-leaning seat. It’s all-consuming (of your time and your money)I have a ton of respect for Rebecca Cooke,¹³ who ran for Congress in western Wisconsin while waitressing. It is extremely difficult to work while running. Why?
Congressional candidates are allowed to pay themselves a salary out of their campaign funds. This is a good policy, one that allows people without substantial savings to run for office. The problem is that it’s used as a powerful political hit. Ray Hartmann ran and lost against Ann Wagner in MO-02 and collected a salary through this run; Wagner’s campaign hit him hard for it.¹⁵ When you consider the views of the American public, I get it. 63% of voters say that some or all people running for office do so to enrich themselves. But no matter how much you have, running for Congress requires you to draw down on savings. It’s a sacrifice treated as an exercise in self-enrichment, which is a tough combination.¹⁶ Should members of Congress be barred from trading individual stocks? Absolutely. It corrodes trust, feeding into the narrative above, and it’s opposed by the overwhelming majority of Americans.¹⁷ But this does nothing to help candidates, who almost always end up losing money by running for Congress.¹⁸ There’s a lot that’s wonderful about running tooI’m not a misanthrope and there’s a lot that’s uniquely rewarding about running for office too. The ability to meet people from all walks of life—different neighborhoods, different ages, different jobs, different lived experiences—is unlike anything else you can do. The fun parts are meeting people who don’t think about politics every day, with whom you can have interesting and nuanced conversations, even if they’re not ultimately going to vote for you. I went around to parts of the district where there weren’t a lot of Democrats; I did an event at a bar in St. Charles where I was most certainly the first political candidate to show up there; I did an online Civilization VI stream to try to reach a different set of non-political people.¹⁹ Politics is a game of addition, not subtraction, and these sorts of efforts are critical to winning elections. But given the other constraints of running a campaign—party pressure, fundraising pressure, making it through primaries—it’s tough to do. Reaching new voters, independent voters, and I’m-not-sure-whether-I’m-going-to-vote voters usually doesn’t become a priority for campaigns until close to the end, at which point most candidates have probably been running for at least a year. What can we do to make it easier for people to run for office?There’s no easy fix for this, obviously. But a few ideas for how we fix this:
Feel free to share this post with someone who will find this interesting. (If you’re reading this email because someone sent it to you, please consider subscribing.) For press inquiries, please contact [email protected]. 1 Trump had beaten Biden by all of 115 votes in the 2020 Presidential election; by presidential vote share, it was the most competitive Congressional district in the United States that year. 2 In all likelihood we would’ve won the primary, and we would’ve faced a difficult, though winnable, general election against incumbent Ann Wagner. Wikipedia describes her as a member of the “moderate bloc of her party.” That’s an assessment with which I vehemently disagree. In any event, I do think she probably loathes Donald Trump, at least in private, because it’s forced her into taking some nuttier positions than she'd generally like to. 3 Based on what I heard from people in Jefferson City, that was targeted at me and designed to keep me from running. I’m one of the few people I know to have been personally gerrymandered, which is about 90% frustrating and 10% flattering. There's maybe a lesson in here about not running Congressional campaigns in a redistricting year, but North Carolina and Ohio are doing just fine redistricting at their own cadence, so maybe you're never really safe. 4 I used this poker metaphor a lot: I was comfortable staying in the hand with an open-ended straight draw heading into the river. But I couldn't stay in when my only path to winning was hitting runner-runner aces on the turn and the river. (h/t to Jeff Smith, the Prince of Missouri Political Poker Metaphors.) 5 State Rep. Trish Gunby, who ultimately won a functionally uncontested primary, lost the general election by about 13%. 6 Apparently that includes my former boss Charlie Baker, a guy who I admire a ton. 7 Let me be clear: I’m hardly a perfect candidate for public office! But there are lots of obstacles for nontraditional candidates of all stripes—the sorts of people who, in many cases, do make the best candidates—that we need to address, or political extremism and polarization will get worse. 8 I've covered this more towards the end of my post, but there's a lot that's wonderful about it too. I don't want to create the impression that it's all bad. But it's definitely tough! 9 Where people found the energy or the time to think about me that much remains, genuinely, baffling to me. I promise you, I'm not that interesting. 10 There are a bunch of different examples of this. I remember tweeting in support of President Biden, after he called to “fund the police” in the ’22 State of the Union. Despite it being a hugely unpopular movement, then and now, the only vitriol was pretty stupidly unending. Not just on this issue, but across the board: I thought the pendulum had swung too far on a bunch of different issues, and voters generally agreed with that in the 2024 election. But the loudest voices are the most extreme—entirely out of touch but with a direct line of communication through your notifications. 11 Specifically, I worked as a policy advisor for Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel (D) and Massachusetts Governor Charlie Baker (R). 12 This is true for young voters too. The most important issue for voters under 30, by far, was jobs and the economy. 13 It's no accident that in a district that Trump won by about 8%, Cooke, as a Democrat, lost by less than 3%. 14 In practice, of course, it’s lower: children, non-citizens, people you’re never going to win over, etc. But even then, it’s still hundreds of thousands of people with whom you could be having productive conversations. 15 The fact that the St. Louis Post-Dispatch covered the story as such is part of the problem, by the way. It's being treated as a bit of a scandal. 16 While I don't doubt that there are people who run for office to enrich themselves (people I have written about before, in fact), there are significantly faster, easier, and more lucrative ways to pull off a grift—a branded meme coin, for instance. Ultimately, I’m lucky that I could afford to run for office. But it’s a tragic commentary on who’s able to run for office that I even have to say that. 17 When I mention to people I meet—friends of friends, at restaurants, wherever—that I work in politics, I can't tell you how often this comes up when I mention to people that I work in politics. Data is not the plural of anecdote, but it’s consistent with my own experience: the fact that members of Congress can trade individual stocks feeds into a narrative of self-enrichment and corruption. That alone might be an argument for banning it. 18 Unfortunately, I could go on here about some of the other personal challenges of running for office. And these are basically true across the board, regardless of one’s political persuasion:
And your prize for winning? You’re right back in the saddle, running again almost immediately. And obviously it’s pretty difficult to get laws passed in Congress these days even if you do manage to find your way to Washington. 19 Two things:
20 With votes, with volunteer time, or with money. Support in politics takes lots of different forms. |