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Editor's Pick
We Are All Confident Idiots
 The trouble with ignorance is that it feels so much like expertise. A leading researcher on the psychology of human wrongness sets us straight.
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Editor's Note: Because it's so easy to judge the idiocy of others, it may be sorely tempting to think this doesn't apply to you. But the problem of unrecognized ignorance is one that visits us all. And over the years, I've become convinced of one key, overarching fact about the ignorant mind. One should not think of it as uninformed. Rather, one should think of it as misinformed.
WorkWorkWho to Blame for Early Modern Climate Change?The sky in the northern hemisphere had been darkened, the winters unusually harsh, and the summers barely arriving for decades when the German Lutheran author Johann Arndt published his Four Books on True Christianity in 1610. Arndt warned his readers that:
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WorkNo one is disrupting banks The largest U.S. banks just reported their fourth quarter and full-year 2024 results. And you know what? Banks are doing really well. This made me realize that, unfortunately, despite almost 30 years of trying, Fintech companies have not disrupted banks. At least, not the big ones. Work
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WorkQA: Why this health AI startup is shutting down “That’s actually how Equality AI was born, was to try to build out tools for health care systems to be able to manage AI risk, starting with bias detection and mitigation,” said Hightower. The company, founded in 2021 with a modest $1.25 million in venture capital funding from Salt Lake City investors EPIC Ventures and Grix VC (Hightower by then was chief medical information officer at the University of Utah), grew to 12 employees at its peak but shut down last week after being unable to find funding to sustain it. WorkAs Trump and Putin Circle Each Other, an Agenda Beyond Ukraine Emerges Both men seem to envision taking on the whole relationship between Moscow and Washington, possibly including revived nuclear arms talks, a conversation that has a looming deadline: The major treaty limiting the arsenals of both nations expires in almost exactly a year. After that, they would be free to pursue the kind of arms race the world has not seen since the deepest days of the Cold War. WorkUSA restricts Swiss access to AI computer chips The USA has excluded Switzerland from the allied countries for unlimited access to AI computer chips. Economics Minister Guy Parmelin criticized this decision. In Switzerland, these chips are used extensively in academic research, but also by many companies. WorkPerplexity submits a new bid for TikTok Perplexity AI has submitted a revised proposal to merge with TikTok, in an arrangement that would give the U.S. government up to 50 percent ownership of the new entity. The Associated Press first reported on the new proposal. WorkWhy Reid Hoffman feels optimistic about our AI future In Reid Hoffman's new book Superagency: What Could Possibly Go Right With Our AI Future, the LinkedIn co-founder makes the case that AI can extend human agency -- giving us more knowledge, better jobs, and improved lives -- rather than reducing it. WorkWorkBelarus opposition and western leaders denounce stage-managed Lukashenko victory With Donald Trump back in power in the US and growing anticipation of ceasefire talks over Ukraine, Lukashenko appeared to be manoeuvring to position himself ahead of potential geopolitical shifts across the continent, said Artyom Shraibman, a Belarusian political analyst and non-resident scholar at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace thinktank. WorkNvidia, ASML Plunge as DeepSeek Triggers Tech Stock Selloff In a bid to stall China’s progress in AI, the US has banned the export of advanced semiconductor technologies to the Asian nation and is limiting sales of advanced Nvidia AI chips to many countries, including allies. ASML has never been able to sell its most-advanced extreme ultraviolet lithography machines to China because of US-led export restrictions. Last year, the Dutch government also restricted immersion deep ultraviolet lithography systems to China after pressure from the Biden administration. WorkChina's DeepSeek sets off AI market rout "The idea that the most cutting-edge technologies in America, like Nvida and ChatGPT, are the most superior globally, there's concern that this perspective might start to change," said Masahiro Ichikawa, chief market strategist at Sumitomo Mitsui DS Asset Management. "I think it might be a bit premature." WorkWorkTulsi Gabbard's Unorthodox Path to Trump's Intelligence Team No one disputes that Ms. Gabbard is an unorthodox choice for one of the most sensitive roles in government. Her nomination has alarmed national security officials of both parties, and Mr. Trump has privately told allies that hers is the cabinet confirmation he is most worried about. WorkTrump Seeks to Assert More Control Over California's Water Many of the actions outlined in the order relate to restrictions governed by the Endangered Species Act, since the region is home to several imperiled fish. One of them attempts to convene a committee known as the God Squad that can override the law, ultimately leading to the extinction of a species. Conservation groups blasted the order and threatened to sue depending on how it is implemented. WorkSouthern California Rainstorms Raise Risks of Mudslides The system was drifting southeast through Los Angeles County, delivering lightning and hail in some areas, according to the service. Through Sunday afternoon, the highest rates of rainfall — about three-quarters of an inch per hour — were limited to isolated areas. WorkWorkPoland warns against restarting Russia gas supplies President Vladimir Putin has said he is prepared to negotiate an end to the war, which first began in 2014 when Russia annexed Crimea, but Ukraine would have to accept the reality of Russian territorial gains, which are currently about 20% of its land. WorkWorkWorkVideo: What We Know About Bird Flu In recent months, bird flu has started raising red flags among scientists and public health officials. Apoorva Mandavilli, a New York Times reporter who covers infectious diseases, explains why we need to start taking bird flu seriously. Work'This Is a Dangerous Virus' That a second bout of infections would produce milder symptoms in cattle is unsurprising, experts said, and could be welcome news to farmers. But reinfections suggest that the virus, called H5N1, could circulate on farms indefinitely, creating opportunities for it to evolve into a more dangerous form — a “high-risk” scenario, said Louise Moncla, an evolutionary biologist at the University of Pennsylvania. WorkWorkIsraeli Army Raids Home of Freed Hamas Member Amid Tensions Over Hostage Deal The Israeli military said in a statement that it had raided the Zughayer family’s house because it “received intelligence and videos of gunfire and incitement to terrorism in the area.” The statement said that the soldiers had been acting to “neutralize the threat of fire” and that they had raised their weapons at “armed individuals.” An Israeli military official said the brother had been detained for displaying a Hamas flag. WorkWorkWorkWorkWorkOpinion | How Europe Swung to the Right Their voices offer a window into the choices Europeans may make in the year ahead. The main event will be a Feb. 23 snap federal election following the collapse of the governing coalition in Germany, where the far-right Alternative for Germany, or AfD, has made tremendous gains. Voters in Italy, Poland, Norway, Ireland, Romania and the Czech Republic — all countries where populist movements are either well established or on the rise — are also expected to choose leaders on the local or national levels. WorkBiggest stock movers Monday: NVDA, crypto stocks, and more Stock futures edged down Monday morning as markets assessed China's ChatGPT moment and geared up for a busy week packed with earnings reports from mega-cap tech giants, including Microsoft (MSFT), Meta (META), Tesla (TSLA), and Apple (AAPL). WorkJeep's first battery EV is not what we expected: the 2024 Wagoneer S Ars Technica has been separating the signal from the noise for over 25 years. With our unique combination of technical savvy and wide-ranging interest in the technological arts and sciences, Ars is the trusted source in a sea of information. After all, you don’t need to know everything, only what’s important. WorkThe 17 best portable Bluetooth speakers for 2025 If you want to play music while you’re out-and-about on something other than headphones, a portable Bluetooth speaker is probably what you want. There’s a broad range of devices for all types of circumstances. Many adventurous people will want a relatively lightweight portable that’s rugged enough to handle the elements while also packing enough charge to play for hours on end. Others may simply need a speaker they can move around the house or use in the backyard. In this case, you can choose larger less rugged models that may offer better sound. WorkHow to choose the best TV for gaming right now The TCL Q651G is another budget TV worth considering. It lacks any sort of local dimming or mini LEDs, so it should fall well short of the U6N in terms of contrast. However, it has the same ability to play in 120Hz at 1080p or 1440p, and unlike the Hisense model, its VRR range is wide enough to support that maximum refresh rate at the lower resolutions. That means it should be less vulnerable to screen tearing and other bits of choppiness with certain games. It’s also a couple hundred bucks cheaper than the U6N. WorkWorkBulgarian police a??blocked rescuea?? of teenage migrants who froze to death "In 2024 there were 515 search-and-rescue operations conducted by general directorate border police of Bulgaria, with the purpose - to provide medical assistance to third-country nationals who managed to enter the country irregularly," the ministry said. "Our patrols reacted to all of those signals in a timely manner, considering how crucial this is when a person is exposed to extreme weather conditions." WorkWorkWork TradeBriefs Publications are read by over 100,000 Industry Executives About Us | Advertise | Privacy PolicyUnsubscribe (one-click) You are receiving this mail because of your subscription with TradeBriefs.
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