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Indivisibles,

Here’s my final reminder: We’re here to deliver Democrats the White House
and Congress so that we can codify reproductive freedom and pass democracy
reform. That’s the plan, and we’re almost there! In these newsletters I
try to interpret the news of the day, brag about what we’re accomplishing
together, and engage in a real discussion with Indivisibles doing work on
the ground to save our democracy. And this time I’ll also share adorable
pictures of our little kids at the end. 

If I had more time, I would have written a shorter letter. But I didn’t,
so I’ll kick off with a summary in case you’re short on time too:

The News: Brace for impact. There’s a lot of news, but not a lot of new
information. Here’s how I deal with the resulting anxiety: trying to
impact the election while we can, and planning for all major possible
post-election scenarios. Indivisible has been doing the first loudly and
the second quietly for months. If you’re the type of person who likes to
plan and likes knowing there’s a plan, read on for the top lines of those
plans for a contested election scenario, a Dem sweep, a Harris win/split
Congress, and a Trump win.

The Brag: We’re firing on all cylinders. This is short and sweet: this
Indivisible movement of ours is kicking ass, and making headlines doing
it. I’m linking to stories about Indivisible activists’ power in the last
week from TIME Magazine, Rolling Stone, the Associated Press, and
Politico. We all do this for the impact, not the recognition -- but when
you’re having this much impact, the recognition follows. Bravo.

The Discussion: Lots of live chats. This is going to be a particularly
chaotic week or two, and I want to stay in close touch with Indivisibles
throughout it. So I’m planning two live briefings/discussions this week: 

* [ [link removed] ]Pre-election coffee chat tomorrow (11/4) at 3pm ET/12pm PT
* [ [link removed] ]Post-election touch base this Wednesday (11/6) at 8:30pm ET/5:30 pm
PT 

My goal is simply to offer space for Q&A in an attempt to stay tight and
coordinated as a movement throughout this period.

The News: Brace for impact

Here’s what I honestly believe: We’re going to win. I know the polls are
chaotic, but based on every input I have -- the Indivisible groups in the
field, the anecdotes from the doors, the quality of the national and state
campaigns, the dominant policy issues at play, the volunteer energy, and
the voter enthusiasm -- I believe we will win this presidential election.
I’m optimistic about the House too. And the Senate is a jump ball.

But belief isn’t enough. Nobody knows. There will be plenty of “news” over
the next 48 hours, but none of it will provide significant insight into
the question we all want the answer to -- who’s gonna win?

Given the stakes of this election, the rollercoaster of intense but
information-less news can cause a lot of anxiety. There are two ways I
deal with the uncertainty and brace for impact: 

 1. Try to impact the results before Tuesday night. While I can’t know who
will win, I do know I’ll want to feel like I did everything possible
-- and doing everything possible is in my control. If you’re reading
this, you already know it’s important to vote, and that voting isn’t
enough. If you live in a battleground state or district [ [link removed] ]you can
talk to 10 neighbors. If you don’t, you can forward this email to
someone who does, and you can [ [link removed] ]join a phonebank. Volunteer. That’s
what’s in your power to do to influence the outcome with 2 days left
to go.
 2. Prepare for multiple post-election scenarios. We can’t know the
future, but we do know the range of possible futures. And Indivisible
has been quietly planning for four scenarios for the last several
months. While we have been avoiding distracting folks who are focused
on building towards as big a win as possible, we have been engaged in
a deep planning process so that we do not find ourselves surprised and
unprepared for the most likely outcomes this week. The four scenarios
include: a contested election scenario, and then three post-election
scenarios -- Dem trifecta, Harris win/split or GOP Congress, and Trump
win.

If planning ahead gives you peace of mind (it does for me), read the rest
of this section. But if you’d rather just focus on the next 48 hours and
cross these bridges when we get there, that’s reasonable and healthy and
probably the best use of your time -- so skip to The Brag below. 

Contested election: If (when) Kamala Harris wins, we know that Donald
Trump will not accept the results. He has spent years refusing to accept
the 2020 results and he and Vance have repeatedly refused to say they will
accept the 2024 results if (when) they lose. In recent weeks, Trump has
[ [link removed] ]ramped up baseless accusations of fraud. Trump is [ [link removed] ]not running a GOTV
operation of substance -- instead his team has been [ [link removed] ]laying the
groundwork to challenge the result in battleground states.

To prepare for this predictable chaos, Indivisible has been working with a
national coalition of like-minded pro-democracy groups. We’ve planned in
this coalition for each stage of the effort to ensure every vote is
counted; we’ve prepared internally at Indivisible; and we’ve briefed
members of Congress on the threat and the plan to combat it. Without
releasing the full plans, here’s what I’ll say: As a broad pro-democracy
community, we are better prepared now for this outcome than in 2020 when
many people simply assumed there would be a peaceful transfer of power.

I won’t distract now with a deeper dive into the plans while there is
still time left to ensure we win by a mile. But if you want to discuss
this further, come to our coffee chat tomorrow, and know that we will
bring the Indivisible movement together after the election to touch base
and brief on next steps as well (see The Discussion below).

Three post-elections scenarios. Eventually the dust will settle and we
will have a President-Elect. We will then find ourselves in one of three
scenarios, each of which Indivisible has prepared a full strategic plan
for ahead of election day.

 1. Democratic trifecta: Harris wins and we take the House and hold the
Senate. In this scenario, not only have we defeated Trump and MAGA,
we have the opportunity to codify reproductive freedom and pass
substantial democracy reform. This is the world we want. 
 2. Harris wins without Congress. Harris wins, but we fail to hold onto
the Senate or take back the House. This is a reasonably likely
scenario, and we should be prepared for a Republican congress focused
on destroying the Harris presidency and sabotaging our democracy, as
well as state-level fights. 
 3. Trump wins. Whether Republicans take congress or not in this
scenario, this is a disaster for democracy, our freedoms, and our
planet. But importantly: It will mean that democracy is in peril --
it will not mean that democracy is over. It will be a new stage in
the fight, one where we’ll regroup, organize to hold off harm, and
build the power to protect our democracy.

I desperately want to publish that first guide, or the second as a
fallback. I have written and I would like you to read the words
“President-Elect Kamala Harris.” But while we are working toward and
hoping for the best, we are also prepared for the worst. Because the fight
for American democracy isn’t over if we win, and the fight for American
democracy isn’t over if we lose. As long as there are more pro-democracy
Americans than anti-democracy MAGAs, our work for our families, our
communities, and our country continues.

The Brag: Read all about us in Rolling Stone or TIME or the AP or Politico or…

This movement is so damn inspiring. We are 8 years into this mess, and yet
when I meet with groups on the ground in Arizona or Michigan or Georgia or
Texas or Pennsylvania or any battleground state, the focus is so
practical. We’re not caught up in the latest media kerfuffle or debating
the last poll. We’re focused on what we can actually do to help our
communities, build power, and influence world events. “Do something,”
Michelle Obama exhorted -- well, we’ve been doing something for the better
part of a decade to defeat MAGA and save our democracy. 

And it’s nice to see the public take notice. All this is just a sample,
and just from the last week or so:

[ [link removed] ]Rolling Stone: This Twist on Door-Knocking Could Help Harris Defeat
Trump: Just look at the subtitle: “Indivisible is recruiting a swing-state
army of progressives to turn out their neighbors to vote for Kamala Harris
and down-ballot.”

[ [link removed] ]Politico: Dems See Signs for Optimism in Gender Gap in Early Vote.
Quotes Leah bragging about Indivisibles in Michigan are doing getting out
the vote door to door.

[ [link removed] ]TIME: Democrats Bank on Ground Game Advantage in Pennsylvania. Covers
Indivisible’s weekly Wednesday Women for Harris calls and action groups,
and the inimitable Deb Paul from Indivisible Mass Coalition.

[ [link removed] ]AP: Those Early Zoom Meetings Got People Fired Up for Harris. Now
They’re Trying to Get Them to Vote. Quotes Leah talking about how we took
the largest zoom in history and funneled that energy into productive
on-the-ground work to win.

[ [link removed] ]TIME: Some Democrats Believe This Might Be An Abortion Election After
All. Quotes Indivisible group leader Carolyn Eberly from Mecklenburg
County, North Carolina talking about all the GOTV work they’re doing.

Normally I end the brag section with a request for some money. And, yes,
in any of the scenarios discussed above, we’ll need a grassroots movement
fueled by grassroots dollars to help us weather the next storm -- and if
that moves you, [ [link removed] ]you should support it here. But if you’re looking to
do something to impact the next 48 hours, money isn’t going to do that.
Contacting voters will -- so rather than money, I’m going to ask you to
forward this email to one person in a battleground state or district, and
[ [link removed] ]ask them to talk to 10 of their neighbors before tomorrow night.

The Discussion: Two live chats coming up, starting tomorrow

We’ve held a lot of coffee chats over the last year -- these are
unrecorded, real talk conversations between Leah, myself, and movement
members who choose to drop by. Given everything happening this week, we
want to go a little bit further to ensure we’re staying in close touch
with Indivisible members across the country. So with that goal in mind, we
have two pre-planned national calls I want to get on your calendar:

 1. [ [link removed] ]Pre-Election Chat tomorrow (11/4) at 3pm ET/12pm PT. Pre-election
coffee chat with Leah, myself, and Indivisible’s managing director
Mari Urbina. We’ll brief you on how we’re planning to consume news on
election night, and how we’re thinking about the contested election
scenario. Like previous coffee chats, we’ll spend most of the time in
live conversation, answering questions from you. We’d love to have you
and your friends join - register here and feel free to submit
questions as well.
 2. [ [link removed] ]Post-Election Touch Base this Wednesday (11/6) at 8:30pm ET/5:30pm
PT. Maybe we’ll know the full results by then, but just as likely
we’ll still be waiting. Again, I’ll be joined by Leah and Mari for
this one, and we’ll use this time to give an update on where we are,
what we expect to come next, and what -- if anything -- we need to do
to avert MAGA-fueled sabotage efforts. 

As I said at the top, I believe we’ll win, but I don’t know how this week
will go. What I do know is that this movement is the most impactful
pro-democracy movement in modern American history. We saved the Affordable
Care Act in 2017. We built the largest margins in the history of the
republic in 2018. We pushed Dem leadership to impeach the bastard in 2019.
We made him the first one-term president in a generation in 2020. We won
two “impossible” Senate runoffs in Georgia in 2021. We turned an
“inevitable” red wave into a trickle in 2022. We beat MAGA in Kentucky,
Virginia, Wisconsin, and Ohio in 2023. 

And while I don’t know if this trend will continue in 2024, I do know that
in any scenario I want an active nationwide movement of pro-democracy
Americans organizing in their own communities to make sure we keep this
democracy of ours going.

In solidarity,
Ezra

Ezra Levin

[18]Indivisible Co-Executive Director

Pronouns: He/him

P.S. This is normally where I give you an update on the kids. And they’re
doing great. But today I really want to shout out two people who are
throwing in big this election season to help beat Trump by helping Leah
and I do all the work we need to do: my mom Ronda and Leah’s mom Sara.
This season is absolutely nonstop -- from travel to public events to
late-night emergency calls, Leah and I are pulled in a thousand
directions. It would be intense under any circumstances but it’s
especially intense with two toddlers, one of whom is currently nocturnal
(hi Lila). From school pickups to bedtimes to being there while we’re
traveling to making sure we eat balanced meals, we quite simply wouldn’t
have made it to the finish line without all that they’ve done to help with
kids.

[19]Two photos of Lila and Zeke with their grandmothers Ronda and Sara.

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