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Indivisibles -- 

Here at Indivisible, we’ve got a relatively simple goal for 2024: We’re
going to elect a Democratic trifecta that will codify reproductive freedom
and pass much-needed democracy reform (voting rights, ending
gerrymandering, addressing big money in politics, DC statehood, etc.). A
lot of transformative progressive policy will stem from there. 

No part of that is easy, but it’s long been clear which electoral goal
will be the hardest: holding onto the Senate. 

The challenge, in short: We currently have a razor-thin Senate majority.
Of the 34 seats up for reelection, Democrats are defending 23. That’s a
tough map. Since Joe Manchin is retiring, West Virginia moves into the
solid Republican category (for now), and the margin for error becomes
zero. To keep the Senate, we’ve got to hold onto every single other blue
seat or score an upset in a red state like Texas, Florida, or Nebraska. 

Like I said: Holding the Senate will be hard. But if you were reading
closely, I also said this: We’re going to do it. How? By fighting wherever
we have a chance. And with that, I've got an announcement, a question
(please respond -- we need your feedback!), and some asks for you. 

Announcement: We’re adding Maryland & Nevada to our Senate Target List 

[ [link removed] ]An animated map of our Senate targets with Texas, Arizona, Wisconsin,
Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Florida shaded blue initially, then
Nevada and Maryland changing from gray to blue.

Thus far, Indivisible volunteers have adopted over 120,000 doors to knock
through [ [link removed] ]our game-changing Neighbor2Neighbor tool -- a tool independent
analysis has suggested is the most effective voter contact tool in
existence. If you’re new here, you can read [ [link removed] ]this post on what makes it
so effective, but the short version is this: Instead of sending canvassers
to talk to strangers, we identify the critical Dem-leaning voters who need
to be contacted in battleground states and districts, and assign neighbors
to have conversations with them. 

Today, we’re making this tool available for additional Senate races and
providing more resources to groups in these states: 

* Nevada: Nevada is a key presidential battleground, one of ten states
with an abortion measure on the ballot this November, and home to one
of the most competitive Senate races in the country. Indivisibles have
been knocking doors to talk about the measure and the stakes of the
presidential race, and now will be able to use N2N (and additional
resources) to keep this Senate seat.

* Candidates: Sen. Jacky Rosen (Dem incumbent) vs. Sam Brown
* Cook Political Rating: Lean Democratic  
* Polling Average: Rosen +8.8

* Maryland: Maryland is another state with an abortion measure on the
ballot, and Indivisible volunteers have already been knocking doors to
promote it. But the Old Line State also has an unusually close Senate
race this year, because it’s one of the few places where a relatively
popular candidate (the state’s former governor) made it through the
primary instead of a complete MAGA blowhard. 

* Candidates: Angela Alsobrooks (Dem) vs. Larry Hogan 
* Cook Political Rating: Likely Democratic
* Polling Average: Alsobrooks +6.8

Question: Should we take a longshot bet on Nebraska?

You read that right. There hasn’t been enough polling out of Nebraska, but
the few polls that have been conducted suggest a much closer race than
anyone could have imagined. 

It’s still probably a bigger longshot than Texas and Florida (both
Indivisible target states already) but the few polls we’ve seen (again,
big grain of salt) show a closer race than either -- and Montana for that
matter. 

Remember -- if we lose any blue seat in addition to West Virginia at this
point, that’s the ballgame -- unless we can peel a seat away from
Republicans. 

So here’s our question: Do we invest finite resources into Nebraska, or
put everything we have into the seats we’re defending + Florida and
Texas? 

+------------------------------------------------------------------------+
| The Case For | The Case Against |
|------------------------------------------+-----------------------------|
| This race is ripe for disruption, and | |
| Dan Osborn, running as an independent, | Opening Neighbor2Neighbor |
| isn’t accepting any Democratic Party | statewide in Nebraska comes |
| support in his bid to unseat Republican | at a cost -- engineering |
| incumbent Deb Fischer. That’s actually a | time to build out the tool, |
| strength in Nebraska. He needs | staff to train and |
| grassroots, Nebraskans-to-Nebraskans | troubleshoot, and dollars |
| mobilization, and that’s exactly what | for recruitment. We’re a |
| Neighbor2Neighbor does -- no national | month out from Election |
| spotlight, just authentic connections | Day, and every hour, every |
| that matter. I really believe that our | dollar counts.  |
| tools could tip the scales. | |
+------------------------------------------------------------------------+

So really, we’re counting on you to help us make this decision. [ [link removed] ]Please
weigh in here on whether we should expand our Senate map to Nebraska.

[ [link removed] ]Take Our 1 Question Survey

Ask: Help us knock more doors

If you’re in one of our Neighbor2Neighbor states or districts, we NEED you
out there knocking doors over the next month and change. Whether or not we
keep the Senate will come down to the margin of effort. [ [link removed] ]Sign up for
your ten doors here. 

And if you’re not in one of our Neighbor2Neighbor states, please take a
few minutes to think about who you know in the highlighted states above
and reach out to them about the stakes of the election. If they’re already
planning to vote blue, send them [ [link removed] ]the link to Neighbor2Neighbor and
encourage them to volunteer some time. 

If we want to confirm good judges, codify abortion rights, pass democracy
reform, and allow Harris/Walz to advance their popular economic agenda, we
need a Democratic Senate. It’s as simple as that. 

Let’s get out there and make it happen. 

In solidarity,
Sarah Dohl
Chief Campaigns Officer & Co-Founder, Indivisible

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