Now SCOTUS is seriously considering making it more difficult to prove in court that a gerrymander was done for racial reasons (which remains illegal) as opposed to partisan reasons (which SCOTUS has ruled may not be challenged in Federal court.)
In Alexander v. South Carolina Conference of the NAACP, the South Carolina legislature moved 30,000 black voters out of the Charleston congressional district, thus making it all but certain that Republicans would win the House seat in the district. (Ironically, the District in question elected Republican Nancy Mace, a supporter of Jim Jordan for Speaker). The Federal District Court unanimously ruled that this was an unconstitutional racial gerrymander and “made a mockery of the districting principle of constituent consistency.”
South Carolina appealed to SCOTUS, asserting that this was a partisan gerrymander designed to help Republicans and not a racial gerrymander designed to disenfranchise Black voters.
During oral arguments on October 15, 2023, Republican Justices expressed sympathy for South Carolina’s argument, and may be on the verge of overturning the lower Federal Court and ruling it partisan, not a racial, gerrymander, and thus A-OK. Justice Alito asked 37 questions along these lines, compared to only 28 questions from the other 8 Justices combined. Alito had written in a previous opinion, joined by Roberts, that courts must “presume the good faith” of legislatures in redistricting cases.” To presume that partisan legislatures act “in good faith” when their own political survival is at stake is a laughable conclusion and borders on idiotic.
Chief Justice Roberts stated that the lower court’s ruling is “all resting on circumstantial evidence…[T]hat would be breaking new ground in our voting rights jurisprudence,” seeming to suggest that Roberts is prepared to overturn the lower court’s factual findings (which SCOTUS is not supposed to do) because its decision was allegedly based on circumstantial evidence (which is permissible).
But in deciding whether a gerrymander is partisan or racial, there is rarely smoking gun evidence like the legislature stating directly it was making its redistricting decisions in order to disenfranchise African Americans. If SCOTUS rules for South Carolina, it will effectively gut protections against racial gerrymandering by letting states claim that their motivation was party advantage, not racial disadvantage.
This case shows the absurdity of SCOTUS’ Rucho decision that the constitutionality of a partisan gerrymander is non-judiciable for Federal Courts, because there are no clear standards to determine if a partisan gerrymander occurred, but there are standards to determine if a racial gerrymander occurred. In this case, South Carolina actually admits that gerrymandering occurred to help Republicans win more seats, but claims that the gerrymandering could not be questioned by Federal Courts under Rucho because it was partisan and not racial.
Much of the oral arguments were consumed with debating how to determine if a gerrymander is racial or partisan. South Carolina’s attorney agreed that “race and politics can’t be disentangled.” But this just demonstrates the incoherence, indeed stupidity, of Rucho. Remember that Rucho did not find that partisan gerrymandering is constitutional—It merely found that the standards for determining if there is partisan gerrymandering are too unclear for Federal courts to decide one way or the other.
South Carolina is freely admitting to gerrymandering. It is trying to get SCOTUS to force the NAACP to jump through hoops to prove the gerrymander is racial. Legal coherence can only be achieved by SCOTUS revising its Rucho holding and finding that where the evidence shows that partisan gerrymandering occurred, or is even openly admitted by defendants, then it’s unconsitutional and judiciable. Anything less allows states to lie that their reason for gerrymandering is partisan and not racial and then receive a judicial get-out-of-jail-free card to continue to gerrymander anyway.
Civil rights advocates fought and literally died to get the Voting Rights Act of 1965 enacted. The Roberts Court has scuttled much of that law, ruling in Shelby County v. Holder that Section 4 of the Act requiring Justice Department preclearance of changes to voting rights in states with a history of racial discrimination is unconstitutional. Now SCOTUS may be ready to scuttle the rest of the Act by giving states the ability to racially gerrymander by claiming that they’re only engaging in partisan gerrymandering.
Republican Supreme Court Justices may wear black robes rather than white robes and pointed hats, but they may be as effective as Klan members in denying African Americans the right to elect their own representatives.